BMIE Market 40361
Bourbon County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,220 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,092 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $63,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $233,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 257.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 40361 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +4.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +15.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +9.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 16–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 40361. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 62.3 | 62 | 40% | +24.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.0 | 56 | 35% | +19.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 56.9 | 57 | 25% | +14.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,361 | 80 | 40% | +32.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 63,333 | 36 | 40% | +14.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,254 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 49 | 35% | +17.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.5 | 62 | 25% | +15.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,361 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 63,333 | 36 | 20% | +7.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.5 | 67 | 50% | +33.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 49 | 30% | +14.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 15 | 42 | 20% | +8.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (79)
By cuisine
American 17 · Pizza 11 · Mexican 10 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 6 · BBQ 5 · Burgers 5 · Bakery 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 17 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 12 · Café 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 602 Main St | open |
| Arby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 116 Matlack St | open |
| Big Daddy's | Bar | open | ||
| Bourbon Barrel Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · BBQ | 4247 Lexington Rd | open |
| Bourbon Smokehouse & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Seafood | 509 Main St | open |
| Burnaco's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 202 Commerce Dr | open |
| Caffemarco | Coffee shop | Coffee | 729 Main St | open |
| Canonero's Cigar and Bourbon Bar | Bar | 713 Main St | open | |
| Champs Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 101 Corporate Way | open |
| Churn & Brews | Café · Dessert · Coffee shop | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 202 Commerce Dr | open |
| Cilantro | Mexican | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 400 Millersburg Rd | open |
| Clay's Downtown Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 730 Main St | open |
| Cooley’s on Main | Bar | American | 707 Main St | open |
| Country Corner | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6830 Briar Hill Rd | open |
| Creekview Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | American | 8 E Main St | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 205 Locust Dr | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1740 Main St | open |
| El patio mexican restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 503 Main St | open |
| Frank's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1900 Main St | open |
| Frosted Blessings | Bakery | Bakery | Paris-Bourbon County Farmers Market, 720 High St | open |
| Giovanni's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4133 Lexington Rd | open |
| Great Wall Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2218 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd # B | open | |
| Great Wall | Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2218 Paris Bypass Rd | open |
| Guadalajara Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 2214 M.L.K. Jr Blvd | open |
| Hangar 54 Pizza Champs Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Chicken / wings · American | 101 Corporate Way | open |
| Happy People Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 706 Main St | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1411 Main St | open |
| Hartfield and Company Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 320 Pleasant St | open | |
| Hinton & Thomas Grease & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | BBQ | 1120 Millersburg Rd | open |
| Hopewell Bake Exchange | Bakery | Bakery | 719 Main St | open |
| Hot Stuff Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 338 E Main St | open |
| Huddle House | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · American | 2125 Rocky Dr | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 160 MOUNT STERLING Rd | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 110 Cleveland Dr | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1602 S Main St | open |
| Indian Creek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 893 Redmon Rd | open |
| Jerry's Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 4129 Lexington Rd | open |
| Kendall's Up In Smoke BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 2001 Alverson Dr | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 304 Letton Drive | open |
| La Esperanza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 611 Main St | open |
| La Jarocha | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 701 Main St | open |
| Lil's Coffee House | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · American | 627 Main St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1842 Main St | open |
| Loco Ice | Dessert | 1978 Main St | open | |
| Long John Silver's Long John Silver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 320 Letton Dr | open |
| Los Hermanos Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 602 Main St | open |
| M & K Entertainment, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4247 Lexington Rd | open | |
| Maiden City Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 202 Commerce Dr | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 101 Reinhold St | open |
| MI Casita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1828 Main St # 1109 | open | |
| Nanny Pearl's Clintonville Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee · Burgers | 6830 Briar Hill Rd | open |
| Over the Bridge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2600 Millersburg Rd | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4247 lexington rd | open |
| Paradise Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Asian | 731 Main St | open |
| Perico's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 4221 Lexington Rd | open |
| Pleasanton Goods | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 902 Main St | open |
| RICO FRESH Mexican GRILL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2125 Rocky Dr | open |
| Riviera Maya Bar & Grill | Mexican | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 209 Letton Dr | open |
| Rooster Brewing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 609 Main St | open | |
| Rose & Thorne Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 609 Main St | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 805 Main St | open | |
| SnoCo Ice | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 280 Clintonville Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Reinhold St | open | |
| Stoner Creek Dining & Golf | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 38 E Main St | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2204 Martin Luther King Jr Blv | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches | 305 Letton Drive, Wal-Mart #493 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 305 Letton Dr | open |
| Tacos El Niño Brown | Quick service · Food truck | Mexican | 1602 S Main St | open |
| The Bar At All About Kentucky | Bar | 509 Main St | open | |
| The Dog House | Food truck | Hot dogs | 123 E 4th St | open |
| The Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 713 Main St, 713 Main St | open |
| The Rock Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 3960 Lexington Rd | open |
| Trackside Restaurant and Bourbon Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 134 E 10th St | open |
| Up In Smoke BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 312 Russell Cave Rd | open |
| Varden's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 509 Main St | open |
| Vidal's on Main Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 706 Main St | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 305 Letton Dr | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2100 Rocky Drive | open |
| Thyme Cafe And Catering, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 509 Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 23 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 26 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 26 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 22 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 28 | 12 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 25 | 9 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.