BMIE Market 41005

Boone County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,718 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,836 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,153 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,410 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$271,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	52.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41005
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+52.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+271.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 25–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41005. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.1	86	40%	+34.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.7	76	35%	+26.5
Market Momentum Score	71.4	71	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,718	86	40%	+34.3
Median household income (ACS)	112,083	87	40%	+35.0
Households (ACS)	9,153	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	25,718	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	112,083	87	20%	+17.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	52.9	68	20%	+13.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

American 11 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 12 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Bakery	1715 Burlington Pike	open
Blessing Light Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1781 Patrick Dr	open
Bourbon Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5987 Carlton Dr	open
Bross, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6091 Limaburg Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1816 Patrick Dr	open
Burligton Little Valle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2614 Burlington Pike	open
Chef Hip E’s Cocina Loca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Mexican	10045 Lower River Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1803 Patrick Dr	open
Christian Moerlein Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		Concourse A, 3087 Terminal Dr	open
Delta Sky Club	Bar		2939 Terminal Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1785 Patrick Drive	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1800 Patrick Drive	open
Dreamys Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3020 Washington St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	3087 Terminal Dr	open
Frisch's Big Boy	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers · American	1731 Patrick Dr	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2355 Burlington Pike	open
Gold Star Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6653 Sperti Ln	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1781 Patrick Dr	open
Granny's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7010 Camp Ernst Rd	open
Gunpowder Creek Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	10046 Lower River Rd	open
Guthrie's Golden Fried Chicken Fingers And Signature Sauce Guthrie's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1781 Patrick Dr	open
House of Tang	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2534 Burlington Pike	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2614 Burlington Pike	open
Lucky Duck Pub	Bar · Casual dining		6072 Limaburg Rd	open
Mvmnt Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2901 Washington St	open
Old Guy's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	5987 Carlton Dr	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	6094 Limaburg Rd	open
Pop & Sprinkle	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2026 Bluestem Dr	open
Sherwin	Bar		1615 Distribution Dr	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6091 Limaburg Rd	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6111 Burgundy Hill Dr Ste C	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1742 Wildcat Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1751 Patrick Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5991 Carlton Drive	open
The Backyard Grill	Casual dining · Bar		5987 Carlton Dr	open
The Battaglia Deli	Café	Coffee	1786 Burlington Pike	open
The Brass Ring Bourbon Bar	Bar		5991 N Jefferson St	open
The Club At CVG The Club Airport Lounges	Other · Bar		Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, Loomis Rd	open
The Dolphin Lounge - Burlington Branch	Bar · Casual dining		Rogers Lane	open
Three Keys Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8800 East Bend Rd	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1432 Production Dr	open
Tousey House Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5963 N Jefferson St #9596	open
Washington Square Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	5981 N Jefferson St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1739 Patrick Dr	open
White Castle	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1742 Wildcat Blvd S	open
Winos Unite HQ	Bar			open
ZOZO'S	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Mexican	5991 N Jefferson St	open
Arthur’s Bistro On The Green	Casual dining · Bar		1911 Golf Club Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	15	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	7	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	9	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	11	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	18	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	21	12	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	22	9	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	11	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	23	12	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	28	15	12	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	24	10	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	22	10	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	21	10	11	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	9	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	23	22	10	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	21	20	8	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	21	8	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	22	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	24	11	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	23	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	24	10	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	26	11	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41005. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41080	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.