BMIE Market 41018

Kenton County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,940 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±865 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,345 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,347 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,605 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,426 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$192,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41018
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+38.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-2.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 38–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41018. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.8	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.0	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	69.1	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,940	88	40%	+35.3
Median household income (ACS)	68,605	45	40%	+17.9
Households (ACS)	11,441	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	38.5	76	35%	+26.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.4	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	28,940	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	68,605	45	20%	+9.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	38.5	76	30%	+22.9
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · Breakfast 6 · Burgers 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Mexican 5 · Japanese 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Bakery 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 17 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Other 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1st Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3180 Dixie Hwy	open
Airheads Candy	Dessert		3645 Turfway Rd	open
Al Otham Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1794 Airport Exchange Blvd	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	3966 Turkeyfoot Rd	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10 Kenton Lands Rd	open
BTS K-Foods Kentucky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3072 Dixie Hwy suite 200	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3049 Dixie Highway	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3100 Dixie Hwy	open
Coca-cola Vending	Restaurant (service type not stated)		680 Erlanger Rd	open
Colonial Cottage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3140 Dixie Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3098 Dixie Hwy	open
Dixie Chili Dixie Chili	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3716 Dixie Hwy	open
Dixie Club Bar & Cafe	Bar · Café	Coffee	3424 Dixie Hwy	open
Dixie Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4351 Dixie Hwy	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3044 Dixie Highway	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	3163 Dixie Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	508 Commonwealth Ave	open
El Nopal Mexican Restaurant El Nopal Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3218 Dixie Hwy	open
El Ocho Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	621 Stevenson Rd	open
Emerson's Bakery Emerson's Bakery US25	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3411 Dixie Hwy	open
Fabled Brew Works	Brewery / taproom · Bar		331 Kenton Lands Rd	open
Fat Man's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	794 Donaldson Hwy	open
Frisch's Big Boy	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers · American	4016 Dixie Hwy	open
Garzelli's Pub &pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	3160 Dixie Hwy	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10 Kenton Lands Rd	open
Gramer's Meat and Produce	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	603 Stevenson Rd	open
Greek To Me	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	3415 Dixie Hwy	open
Grub With Stubb	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	BBQ	316 Forest Ave	open
Guthrie's Chicken Fingers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Breakfast · American	3340 Mineola Pike	open
Hanilul Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4210 Dixie Hwy	open
Hansen's Pub	Bar		3132.5 Hulbert Ave	open
Hawaiian Ice Northern Kentucky	Dessert		4315 Dixie Hwy	open
Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3340 Mineola Pike	open
Hot Stuff Pizza Hot Stuff Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Breakfast	506 Commonwealth Ave	open
I Want Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4112 Dixie Highway	open
JB's Roadhouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	133 Garvey Ave	open
Jo An Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	3940 Olympic Blvd Ste 135	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3040 Dixie Highway	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3608 Turfway Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4224 Dixie Hwy	open
Long John Silver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	3163 Dixie Hwy	open
Long John Silvers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	3136 Dixie highway	open
Mayo Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	514 Commonwealth Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3050 Dixie Hwy	open
McKenna's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1717 Airport Exchange Blvd	open
Michael And J. Zang, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3159 Dixie Hwy	open
Newly Weds Foods Distribution	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	4455 Olympic Blvd E	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	Terminal, Donaldson Hwy 4th Floor	open
Park Ave. Grill-n-Chill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		92 Park Ave	open
Peecox Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		635 Donaldson Hwy	open
Pepsico	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		4315 Olympic Blvd	open
Perfetti van Melle Warehouse	Dessert		650 Erlanger Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	3149 Dixie Hwy Suitea Suitea	open
Rahma Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4210 Dixie Hwy	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1790 Airport Exchange Blvd	open
Rally's	Quick service		508 Commonwealth Ave	open
Roly Poly Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	3072 Dixie Hwy	open
Salvadore's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3218 Dixie Hwy	open
Savor Cafe at Dolwick	Café · Quick service	American · Coffee	1360 Dolwick Rd	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Quick service · Casual dining	American	3159 Dixie Hwy	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	643 Stevenson Rd	open
Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		599 Donaldson Hwy	open
Square Peg Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	657 Stevenson Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3073 Dixie Highway	open
Sub Station II	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	794 Donaldson Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3340 Mineola Pike Ste B	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1790 Airport Exchange Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	794 Donaldson Hwy	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		3098 Dixie Hwy	open
The Bistro - Eat. Drink. Connect.®	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Olympic Blvd	open
The Coffee Bean	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	655 Stevenson Rd	open
The Hive	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	480 Erlanger Rd	open
The V Bar	Bar		4435 Dixie Hwy	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3163 Dixie Hwy	open
Tsunami Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	3072 Dixie Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	638 Donaldson Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3069 Dixie Hwy	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	3150 Dixie Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	41	37	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	38	35	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	37	32	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	41	35	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	41	35	15	19	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	37	32	13	18	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	34	28	10	17	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	35	27	10	16	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	31	26	10	15	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	33	27	11	15	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	38	31	13	17	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	41	34	13	19	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	39	32	11	19	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	39	30	11	17	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	38	28	10	17	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	37	27	10	16	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	35	26	10	16	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	32	25	10	15	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	35	27	11	15	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	34	26	8	17	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	34	28	8	19	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	34	28	9	17	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	34	27	8	17	2	4	NAICS2012
2017	36	30	8	20	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	39	32	7	22	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	41	34	8	24	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	41	34	9	23	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	40	33	9	21	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	43	36	11	22	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	43	36	10	22	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41018. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41017	2.4 mi	89	2023
41042	3.1 mi	156	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.