BMIE Market 41031

Harrison County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,886 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,935 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,883 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$212,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,203 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	225.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41031
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+73.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 26–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41031. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.4	62	40%	+24.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.2	59	35%	+20.7
Market Momentum Score	65.1	65	25%	+16.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,624	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	64,883	39	40%	+15.5
Households (ACS)	6,379	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	50	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	16,624	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	64,883	39	20%	+7.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4	60	50%	+30.2
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	73.3	75	20%	+15.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 11 · Pizza 10 · Bakery 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Coffee 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 10 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angilo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	994 US Highway 27 S	open
Angilo's Pizza - Cynthiana Angilo's Pizza Mt. Healthy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	994 US-27	open
Asian Garden	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1094 US-27	open
Biancke's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	102 S Main St	open
Blended Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	101 E Pleasant St	open
Brimstone bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	698 US-27	open
Buttermilk Hill Organic Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	10865 US Highway 62 E	open
Capilla Kitchen & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	201 S Main St b	open
China House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	109 E Bridge St	open
Cordial - Coffee & Curated Finds	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	134 E Pike St	open
Crystal Ice Delights	Food truck		660 US Highway 27 S	open
Cymply Cynful Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	101 E Pleasant St	open
Cynthiana Cheese Store & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	115 S Walnut St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	112 Cs-1083	open
Don Senor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	810 US-27	open
El Paricutin Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1050 US Highway 27 S	open
Ernies Sports Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 S Main St Ste B	open
Fat Boys Bar and Grill LLC	Casual dining · Bar	American	7449 US Highway 27N	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	American · Burgers	681 Us Hwy 27 S	open
Harrison HUB	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	930 US Highway 27 S	open
Honky Tonk Heaven	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4175 Ky Highway 36 W	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	367 Oddville Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	141 Newtown Leesburg Rd	open
jake's diner	Casual dining	American	1276 US Highway 27 S	open
Jj's Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	201 S Main St	open
Jo's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	4175 Ky Highway 36 W	open
Kelliones Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	219 S Walnut St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings · American	905 U.S. Highway 27 South	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	762 US Highway 27 South	open
Legends Bar and Events	Bar · Casual dining		216 S Walnut St	open
Leono's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	253 S Church St	open
Lin Garden Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 E Bridge St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1200 Paris Pike	open
Maeve’s turning 6	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5898 Ky Highway 36 W	open
Maiden City Brewing Co. - Cynthiana	Brewery / taproom · Bar		300 Sea Biscuit Way	open
Maiden City Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		123 E Pike St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	853 Us Hwy 27 S	open
OMG Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery	930 US-27	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 Water Works Ave	open
Pike Street Wine House	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		132 E Pike St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	930 US 27 S	open
Riverside Rays	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	115 Water Works Ave	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	117 N Main St	open
South Miller Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	207 S Miller St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	994 US Highway 27 S #3	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	805 US 27 South	open
The Burley Market & Cafe	Café	Coffee	201 E Pike St	open
The Family Table Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	209 S Poplar St	open
The Hillstead	Bakery	Bakery	7820 KY-392	open
The Main Cup	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	105 N Main St	open
The Sweet Pine Cafe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts	202 E Pike St	open
Tic Tac's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Tropical Ice	Dessert	Dessert	102 S Walnut St	open
Uptown Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		315 Webster Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	106 Ladish Rd	open
Yamato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	786 US-27	open
Vault Coffee Shop Llc	Café	Coffee	201 S Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	16	3	12	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	3	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	18	7	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	3	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	15	5	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	16	4	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	18	17	6	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	19	7	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	17	16	5	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	19	7	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	22	9	13	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	10	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	20	12	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	22	13	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	21	10	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	10	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	10	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	11	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	13	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	25	14	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	23	13	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	23	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	24	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	25	8	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	10	15	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41031. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.