BMIE Market 41091

Boone County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,622 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,419 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,873 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,915 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$136,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,010 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,675 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$399,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	56.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41091
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+900.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41091. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.3	88	40%	+35.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.8	82	35%	+28.6
Market Momentum Score	87.9	88	25%	+22.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,244	85	40%	+34.2
Median household income (ACS)	136,307	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	8,419	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.9	81	25%	+20.2
Population (ACS)	25,244	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	136,307	94	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	53.9	92	50%	+45.9
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	900	99	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

American 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 9 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	1597 Cavalry Dr	open
Bella Vita KY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	9914 Old Union Rd	open
Blaze Cigar Lounge and Bar, Union KY: Voted Best Bar in NKY 2025 & 2024	Bar		9124 US-42 Suite D	open
Boomtown Biscuits & Whiskey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9039 US-42 Ste h	open
Boonedocks Pub and Grub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11984 US-42	open
Braxton Brewing Company Union Braxton Brewing Co. Cincinnati	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8901 US-42	open
C & L Lounge	Bar		3373 Hathaway Rd	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		9172 US-42	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9039 US Highway 42 Ste A	open
Dewey's Pizza - Union Dewey's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8901 US-42 Suite A	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza · Chicken / wings	8851 US Highway 42	open
El Asadero Mexican Bar & Grill - Union El Asadero Mexican Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9196 US-42 Suite A	open
Flipdaddy's Brilliant Burgers & Craft Beer Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8863 US Route 42	open
Graeter's Ice Cream Graeter's Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	8905 US-42	open
Gunpowder Creek Artisan & Farmers Market	Winery / distillery / taproom		5063 Beaver Rd	open
Janes Family Fun, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13989 S Ryle Rd	open
Joe's Brewhaus	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2524 Three Trees Ln	open
Kitchen 1883	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9003 US Highway 42	open
McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	9148 U.S. 42	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery	9085 US Hwy 42	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9124 US-42	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8761 US Highway 42 Boone	open
Schlotzsky's Schlotzsky's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	9280 US-42 Suite A	open
Shanghai Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8761 US-42	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8675 US Highway 42	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	9001 Us 42	open
Strong's Brick Oven Pizzeria Strong's Brick Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10336 US-42	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8761 U S Rte 42 Suite A	open
Taco Mama - Union Taco Mama - Union	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9124 US Highway 42	open
Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	9124 US-42 Unit C	open
The Beaverlick Trading Post	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2009 Beaver Rd	open
The Fairway Room	Bar		9196 US-42 Suite D	open
The Farmstand Market & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9914 Old Union Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	9256 US HWY 42, SUITE D	open
Union 42 Bourbon And Brew	Bar		9900 Old Union Rd	open
Union Auto Parts & Sales	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1354 Frogtown Rd	open
Union Connection Bbq, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9039 US Highway 42	open
Valle Escondido Mexican Grill Valle Escondido's Harrison	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	8863 US Highway 42	open
Weather Oar Knot Marina	Bar		4895 Beaver Rd	open
Wings and Rings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8987 US 42	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9280 US-42 & Childrens Way	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	16	12	4	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	3	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	5	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	6	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	17	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	18	10	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	20	9	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41091. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.