BMIE Market 41094

Boone County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,486 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,099 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,631 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,261 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,515 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,087 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,351 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$293,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,069 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	42.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41094
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+180.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 28–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41094. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.5	77	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.7	68	35%	+23.7
Market Momentum Score	71.9	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,486	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	96,515	79	40%	+31.4
Households (ACS)	4,670	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.3	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	14,486	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	96,515	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12	70	50%	+35.0
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 8 · Burgers 7 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 18 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 5 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	205 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
Bailey Jaynes Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5 N Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	160 Richwood Road	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	242 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
China Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	625 Chestnut Dr	open
Cookery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13019 Walton Verona Rd	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	195 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13019 Walton-Verona Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	165 Winning Colors Way	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	320 Richwood Road	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2 School Rd	open
El Toro Bravo of Walton El Toro Downtown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	625 Chestnut Dr	open
Enlightenment Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	11069 Clay Dr	open
Family's Main Street Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	104 N Main St	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Quick service	American	287 Richwood Rd	open
Halperns' Purveyors of Steak & Seafood Halperns	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	13151 Apex Dr	open
KellyQ's & Whippers Dairy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	188 N Main St	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	145 Richwood Rd	open
Longnecks Sports Grill Longnecks Sports Grill - Hebron	Bar · Casual dining	American	12919 Frogtown Connector Rd	open
Lucky Kentucky BBQ	Catering	BBQ · American	74 N Main St	open
Lyons Magnus	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		95 Richwood Rd	open
Mama Bean's Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery · Mediterranean	548 Lassing Way	open
Manny’s cabin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10915 Dixie Hwy	open
Marckesano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11065 Clay Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	306 Richwood Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	225 Mary Grubb'S Hwy	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	282 Richwood Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	625 Chestnut Drive Boone	open
Sabaidee Lao & Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	11051 Clay Dr	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	339 Richwood Rd	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	260 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	311 Richwood Rd	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3 N Main St	open
South Central Walton	Bar		14 S Main St	open
Special K's Sports Cafe	Bar		10786 Dixie Hwy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	635 Chestnut Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	208 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
Steeplechase Clubhouse	Bar		11301 Grand National Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	118 Richwood Rd I-75	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	11229 Frontage Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	625 Chestnut Dr Ste 104	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	211 Mary Grubbs Highway	open
The Hideout	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10786 Dixie Hwy	open
Uncle Leroy's Candy	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	44 Cummings Dr	open
Verona Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		13019 Walton Verona Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	11213 Frontage Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	185 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	319 Richwood Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	195 Mary Grubbs Hwy	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	169 Winning Colors Dr	open
Woodland Inn Bar And Lounge	Bar		14042 Dixie Hwy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	430 Richwood Rd	open
ベーカリーFuji	Bakery	Bakery	河合町9-29	open
The Gourmet Café	Café	Coffee	10885 Clydesdale Ct	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	13	3	6	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	5	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	5	8	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	18	17	8	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	7	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	18	9	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	20	9	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	22	20	10	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	20	10	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	24	22	9	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	9	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	23	8	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	9	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	25	10	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	27	10	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	9	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	26	10	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	26	9	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	28	11	15	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41094. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.