BMIE Market 41097

Grant County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±262 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,349 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,113 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,754 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$782 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$221,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,940 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	95.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41097
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-68.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41097. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.3	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.2	71	35%	+24.9
Market Momentum Score	72.6	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,801	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,524	59	40%	+23.5
Households (ACS)	2,557	65	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.0	76	25%	+19.1
Population (ACS)	7,801	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	77,524	59	20%	+11.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 4 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Edwardo's Pizza & Subs LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1402 N Main St	open
El Jalisco Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4 Skyway Dr	open
Emzara's Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1 Ark Encounter Dr	open
Gypsy_BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	210 Wainscott Rd	open
Hansie Flip Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	134 N Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	111 Stewartsville Rd	open
Kentucky Y’all Icebox	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	150 N Main St	open
Mitts Rd	Bar	Pizza		open
MoonStruck LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	147 N Main St	open
Opa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	126 N Main St	open
Paquetería y Carros a México A&R	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Cherry Hill Ln	open
Shared Dinung Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1402 N Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	103 Barnes Road Suite B	open
The Daily Grind Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	106 Paris St	open
THE GALLERY COFFEE SHOP	Coffee shop	Coffee	137 N Main St	open
Village Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1 Ark Encounter Dr	open
Williamstown Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls	100 N Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	6	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	19	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	18	18	7	9	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	1	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	2	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41097. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.