BMIE Market 41102

Boyd County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±417 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,712 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,899 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$67,879 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,281 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$795 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$153,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41102
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+94.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+105.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+218.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 34–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41102. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.4	66	40%	+26.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.1	68	35%	+23.8
Market Momentum Score	90.9	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,621	82	40%	+32.8
Median household income (ACS)	67,879	44	40%	+17.5
Households (ACS)	7,807	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	94.4	90	35%	+31.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.0	46	25%	+11.5
Population (ACS)	20,621	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	67,879	44	20%	+8.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	94.4	90	30%	+27.0
20-year restaurant growth	105.9	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

American 13 · Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Burgers 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Asian 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 12 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
606 Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5850 US-60	open
Almost Philly	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12532 Us Route 60	open
Backyard Pizza and Raw Bar of Kentucky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	10699 US-60	open
Better Than Flours Gluten-Free Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies	2538 State Route 5	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12475 US Route 60	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	10763 US-60	open
Callihan's American Pub & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10699 US Route 60	open
Champs Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6604 U S 60	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	500 Winchester Ave #154	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	500 Winchester Ave., #154	open
Crisp's Dairy Treat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1216 KY-716	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3300 13th St	open
Dairy Queen Grill and Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	12759 US-60	open
Denny's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2704 S Big Run Rd W	open
Double Drizzle	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6926 US-60	open
FatAsh Cigar Lounge	Bar		8110 US-60	open
Giovanni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1724 Cannonsburg Rd	open
Giovanni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6930 U S 60	open
Giovanni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	615 Wheatley Rd	open
Hangar 54 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings · Breakfast	373 St Rt. 716	open
Hillbilly Hibachi at Camp Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10699 US-60	open
Kentucky American Franchising, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6926 US Route 60	open
Kentucky Bluebird Grill & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	6938 US-60	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9309 U.S. Highway 60	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	160 Russell Rd	open
KOI Hibachi Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	604 Bellefonte Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1805 Main Street	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	14525 State Route 180	open
Mr Gatti's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9411 Us Route 60	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3406 13th st	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	8412 US-60	open
R.J. Kahuna's Sports Bar	Bar		10699 US 60	open
Red's Place	Bar · Casual dining	American	8130 US-60	open
Ricks Barbecue and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5850 US Route 60	open
Shooters Grill And Sports Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	1320 Wolohan Dr	open
Smokin' J's Rib And Brewhouse	Bar		10699 Us Route 60 Ste 950	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10699 US Route 60, 1100	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12504 US 60	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6515 US-60	open
Summit Pour House Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	6604 US Route 60	open
Suplex Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3613 13th St	open
Suplex Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3613 13th St	open
Tgkc Pikeville Giovannis Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6926 US Route 60	open
The Greater Kentucky Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6926 US Route 60	open
Tres Hermanos Nuñez Mexican Restaurant - Cannonsburg Tres Hermanos Nunez - Grayson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10951a US-60	open
Waffle House - Ashland Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	12679 US Route 60	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	12504 US Route 60	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12523 US-60	open
Whit's Frozen Custard Whit's Frozen Custard of Daphne	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	10699 US-60 Ste 410	open
Zanzi's Pizza Zanzis Pizza of Ashland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3301 13th St	open
Arby's	Quick service		10951 US Route 60	closed
Johnnie & Mary Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5260 13th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	14	7	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	18	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	17	17	7	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	15	7	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	17	8	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	8	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	21	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	19	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	24	6	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	31	6	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	32	31	6	22	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	35	35	9	23	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41102. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.