BMIE Market 41339

Breathitt County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,957 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,911 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$34,764 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,753 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$570 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$75,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,528 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	329.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41339
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41339. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.5	45	40%	+17.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.3	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	54.1	54	25%	+13.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,590	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	34,764	4	40%	+1.4
Households (ACS)	4,297	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.5	78	25%	+19.6
Population (ACS)	10,590	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	34,764	4	20%	+0.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	-30.8	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 7 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Asian Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian		open
Casa Amigos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1589 KY-15 Ste 90	open
Chester's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings · American	9630 Highway 15 S	open
Cozy Corner Cafe Restaurant	Casual dining	American	1134 Main St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	198 Back Ln	open
Hardee's	Quick service		Highway 15	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	HIGHWAY 15 SOUTH	open
Hardee’s	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Highway 15 S	open
Hounshell’s Country Corner	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7228 Beattyville Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11310 Ky-52	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9719 Kentucky 30	open
Jayden Kates Coffee Co. & Boutique	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	868 KY-15	open
Kelsey's on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1124 Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	382 Highway 15 N	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	137 Highway 15 N	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		440 Highway 15 N	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	931 Ky Hwy 15 N	open
Mi Degollado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1550 Highway 15 S	open
Mountain Mama Kettle Corn	Food truck			open
Old Buck Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	759 S Hwy. 15	open
Sazon Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	100 Highway 15 South	open
Showtime Pizza And Tanning	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	860 KY-15	open
South Fork Quicksand Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	445 Hwy 15 N	open
Thatcher's Downtown	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	323 Broadway St	open
The Royal Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1124 Main St	open
Variety Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1189 Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	31 Highway 15 S	open
White Flash 2	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	701 Washington Ave	open
White Flash Restaurant	Casual dining	American	1144 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	17	4	11	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41339. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41317	4.7 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.