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BMIE Market 41858

Letcher County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)7,031
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±800 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households2,728
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count8,064
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units3,727
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$45,933
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age41.0
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent$654
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value$90,400
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area87.3 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants18
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41858
Restaurants per 10,000 residents16.1
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year-14.3%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+20.0%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year+28.6%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+100.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 202819 (range 14–24)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score42 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score44 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score44 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score37 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score43.54440%+17.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score43.74435%+15.3
Market Momentum Score37.13725%+9.3
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)7,0316640%+26.2
Median household income (ACS)45,9331040%+4.2
Households (ACS)2,7286620%+13.1
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth206335%+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)25.62625%+6.4
Population (ACS)7,0316620%+13.1
Median household income (ACS)45,9331020%+2.1
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth-14.31650%+7.9
10-year restaurant growth206330%+18.9
20-year restaurant growth28.65120%+10.2
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 5 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
Babes Back Alley BBQRestaurant (service type not stated)BBQ · American280 Main Stopen
Cowan MarketRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza3232 Highway 931 Sopen
Dairy Queen Grill & ChillQuick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)Ice cream / frozen desserts1537 Jenkins Rdopen
Dana's Acai BarJuice, smoothie, tea · CaféJuice / smoothies · Coffee127 Main Stopen
Forever Ice CreamDessertIce cream / frozen desserts · Dessert84 E Main Stopen
Heritage KitchenRestaurant (service type not stated)Americanmain Streetopen
Hunt Brothers PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza1505 Jenkins Rdopen
Hunt Brothers PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza8635 Ky-7open
Hunt Brothers PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza4497 Highway 15 Sopen
Ice Ice BabyDessertIce cream / frozen desserts107 Medical Plaza Lnopen
Jumbo HouseRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningChinese · American94 Cs-1003open
Kentucky Mist Distillery - WhitesburgWinery / distillery / taproom128 E Main Stopen
KFC KFCQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Chicken / wings256 Maple Streetopen
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe ChickenQuick serviceChicken / wings · American789 Jenkins Rdopen
Little Caesars Pizza Little CaesarsQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Pizza98 Whitesburg Plazaopen
Long John Silver's Long John Silver'sQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Seafood2346 KY-15open
Luigi's - Whitesburg, KYRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian756 State Hwy 2034open
McDonald's McDonald'sQuick serviceBurgers · Breakfast709 Cumberland Rdopen
Mount N BrewBar · Casual dining511 US-119open
Paco's Mexican RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex64 Parkway Plaza Loop Ste 10C, 10Dopen
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's PizzaQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Pizza35 Susan Cook Dropen
Parkway RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)American3749 Highway 15open
pine mountain grill & giftsCasual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · BarAmerican45 US-119open
Pizza HutRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza51 Jenkins Rdopen
Pour Some Sugar on MeRestaurant (service type not stated)2514 Highway 15open
Prime Steakhouse & BarCasual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · BarSteakhouse64 Parkway Plaza Loopopen
Sazon Mexican RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)Mexican · Spanish / tapas704 State Hwy 2034open
StarbucksCoffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)Coffee251 Medical Plaza Lnopen
StreetSide Grill & BarCasual dining · Bar203 Main Stopen
Subway SubwayQuick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches714 Highway 2034open
Summit City on MainCasual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · BarCoffee214 Main Stopen
Taco Bell Taco BellQuick serviceMexican16 Maple Streetopen
The Pine Mountain GrillRestaurant (service type not stated)45 Highway 119 Sopen
The Thirsty Heifer Ltd. Co.Restaurant (service type not stated)American127 Main St Ste Bopen
Wendy's Wendy'sQuick serviceBurgers · American37 Medical Plaza Lnopen
Kentucky River Grill LlcCasual dining · Bar290 Parkway Plaza Loopclosed
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
199499————SIC1987
199588————SIC1987
199688————SIC1987
19971111————SIC1987
19981212111——NAICS1997
19991111110——NAICS1997
20001212111——NAICS1997
20011313310——NAICS1997
20021313310——NAICS1997
20031414311——NAICS2002
200415154101—NAICS2002
200515154101—NAICS2002
20061313310——NAICS2002
20071515312——NAICS2002
20081717512——NAICS2007
20091616511——NAICS2007
20101313310——NAICS2007
20111515510——NAICS2007
20121515510——NAICS2012
20131615510——NAICS2012
20141515510——NAICS2012
2015141459——NAICS2012
2016171789——NAICS2012
20171919109——NAICS2017
20182121129——NAICS2017
2019171798——NAICS2017
2020151578——NAICS2017
2021141468——NAICS2017
20221717710——NAICS2022
20231818711——NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41858. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
418452.6 mi—
418153.1 mi12014
418243.7 mi32022
418484.7 mi—
418554.8 mi—
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.