BMIE Market 42134

Simpson County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,785 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,251 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,113 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,002 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$226,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,568 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	212.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42134
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+51.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 45–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42134. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.7	60	40%	+23.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.1	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	74.6	75	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,380	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	59,113	28	40%	+11.2
Households (ACS)	7,674	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.7	31	25%	+7.7
Population (ACS)	19,380	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	59,113	28	20%	+5.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.9	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	51.7	68	20%	+13.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (93)

By cuisine

American 20 · Pizza 12 · Mexican 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Burgers 6 · Coffee 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Seafood 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Quick service 28 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 12 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
31W Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	106 Barrett Ln	open
Amvets Post Franklin Kentucky	Quick service		1080 Harding Rd	open
Asian Buffet Restaurant	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	412 N Main St	open
Attempted Sky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	498 Cherry St	open
Best Donuts Franklin	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	201 W Cedar St	open
Blackjack BBQ Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		4369 Blackjack Rd	open
Blue Line Roasting Co. Tactically Crafted Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	104 State St	open
Bojangles	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	919 South Main St	open
Bria’s Boujee Bar	Bar		1788 Industrial Byp N	open
Brickyard Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean	205 W Cedar St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4225 Nashville Rd	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	703 South Main Street	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	315 S Main St	open
Cbxn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	424 Filter Plant Rd	open
China Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1440 Nashville Rd	open
Colorado Grill Franklin KY	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	116 Steele Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	155 Steele Rd	open
Crocker Farm Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5892 Scottsville Rd	open
D'LEGION BAR AND GRILL	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3478 Nashville Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1599 Nashville Rd	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican · Burgers	4380 S Nashville Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	520 N Main St	open
Downtown Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 S Main St	open
Drop Of	Café		101 Hastings Dr	open
Dueling Grounds Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		208 Harding Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1551 Nashville Rd	open
El Mazatlan Bar & Grill #9 El Mazatlan Mexican Restaurant & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1403 Nashville Rd	open
El Potrero Cantina & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	270 Trotters Ln	open
Firehouse Pizza of Franklin, KY Firehouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1440 Nashville Rd	open
Flying Panthers MC Clubhouse	Bar		544 W Washington St	open
Franklin Apothecary	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	128 B N Main St Upstairs	open
Franklin Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	133 Memorial Dr	open
Franklin Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	3898 Nashville Rd	open
Frosty Freeze	Casual dining · Quick service	American	433 S Main St	open
Garden Greek Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Greek	6110 Nashville Rd	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1080 Harding Rd	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	625 N Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	807 S Main St	open
Harris Cw Properties Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1551 Nashville Rd	open
Holly J’s Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	1326 Nashville Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	904 S Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	2600 Bowling Green N	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	3303 Scottsville Road	open
Irons Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood	5629 Nashville Rd	open
Jim's Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	854 Harding Rd	open
Jones Auto & Tire	Restaurant (service type not stated)		209 W Cedar St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	710 North Main Street	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1080 Harding Road	open
Ky State Line Cafe & Jamboree	Café	Coffee	5950 Nashville Rd	open
Laredos Mexican grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1440 Nashville Rd	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	520 N Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	913 S Main St	open
Lomeli's Mexican Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	613 S Main St	open
Manifest FZ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	17488 Clear Water Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	110 Steele Rd	open
Mill House Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	126 N Main St	open
Mixed Grill Gyros Franklin, KY	Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean · Greek	118 S Main St	open
Mkm Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Steele Rd	open
New China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		414 N Main St	open
Oasis Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	116 Steele Rd	open
Oscar's Taco Shop Oscar's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	527 N Main St	open
OT Sports Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1326 Nashville Rd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2110 n main street	open
Pelican's Snoballs	Dessert		608 N Main St	open
Pendleton's Pay Lake Bait Store/Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	176 Kenny Perry Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	705 S Main St Simpson	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1377 Nashville Highway	open
Rackhouse Restaurant and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4138 Bowling Green Rd	open
Rylan's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	709 S Main St	open
Snl Specialty Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 State St	open
Sol Azteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1440 Nashville Rd	open
Sol Azteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	613 S Main St	open
Sol Azteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4000 Nashville Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	811 N. Main	open
Squeeze The Day Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Jefferson St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1550 Nashville Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	801 N Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2929 Scottsville Rd	open
Sumner Crest Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar			open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	847 S Main St	open
Tanglewood Farms Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	106 Barrett Ln	open
Taqueria La Plebada Food Truck	Food truck · Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6110 Nashville Rd	open
The Homeplace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2210 Springfield Rd	open
Tim's Main Street Diner	Casual dining	American	110 S Main St	open
Tokyo Express Tokyo Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1442 Nashville Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	3833 Nashville Rd	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	1550 Nashville Rd	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	527 N Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2942 Scottsville Rd	open
Wildfire BBQ & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	105 State St	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1551 Nashville Rd	open
Fat Larry's Grub, Love & Tunes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 S Main St	closed
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2600 Bowling Green Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	29	29	12	16	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	27	27	11	15	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	27	27	11	15	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	25	25	10	14	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	26	26	12	13	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	29	29	11	17	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	29	29	10	18	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	30	30	10	19	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	28	28	9	19	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	31	31	11	18	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	36	35	13	21	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	35	35	15	19	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	38	38	15	21	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	33	33	14	18	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	32	30	12	16	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	34	32	13	17	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	34	32	12	18	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	36	33	13	18	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	40	36	15	19	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	41	38	17	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	40	37	15	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	38	16	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	38	18	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	39	15	24	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	43	19	24	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	46	44	18	24	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42134. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.