BMIE Market 42408

Hopkins County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,888 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,737 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,178 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$92,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	143.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42408
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42408. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.2	50	40%	+20.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.9	54	35%	+18.9
Market Momentum Score	33.7	34	25%	+8.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,888	63	40%	+25.2
Median household income (ACS)	60,900	31	40%	+12.5
Households (ACS)	2,246	63	20%	+12.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.1	91	25%	+22.8
Population (ACS)	5,888	63	20%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	60,900	31	20%	+6.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · American 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Coffee 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
C and C Freeze Dried Treats	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	301 Alexander St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	530 E Arcadia Ave	open
Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		263 E Arcadia Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	15 Industrial Pk Rd 15 Industrial Pk Rd	open
Dawson Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 S Main St	open
Family Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		309 E Arcadia Ave	open
Fiesta Acapulco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	263 E Arcadia Ave	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25 Oak Hts	open
Ground Up Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	20 Oak Hts	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20 Charleston Road	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		25 Oak Hts	open
Main Street Sweet Treats & Eats	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	118 S Main St	open
Mi Pueblo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	263 E Arcadia Ave	open
Squeeze In Scoop Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	109 E Railroad Ave	open
Stella’s Farm Stand	Bakery	Bakery	2755 Daylight Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5715 Charleston Rd	open
The Farmstand	Food truck		12075 Nortonville Rd	open
Wendy’s Place formerly Becky’s Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
鮨処おがさわら	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	静岡県静岡市清水区巴町7-13	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42408. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.