BMIE Market 42503

Pulaski County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,244 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,272 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±567 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,497 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$838 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$210,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,307 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	129.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42503
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.41) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.41, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.9	60	40%	+24.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.6	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	70.6	71	25%	+17.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,321	85	40%	+34.2
Median household income (ACS)	54,707	21	40%	+8.5
Households (ACS)	10,272	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	25,321	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	54,707	21	20%	+4.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Quick service 7 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amish & More Country Store and Sandwich Shoppe	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	585 US-27	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	290 N Highway 27	open
Back Yard Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	525 N Highway 27	open
Cabaña Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	525 US-27	open
Chili's	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	50 Makena Dr	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	50 Makena Drive	open
Duke’s Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	624 W Highway 80	open
Gold Star Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	266 Whisper Woods Dr	open
Horse Soldier Bourbon	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		795 Slate Branch Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11680 Ky-39	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2200 Kentucky 461	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2615 Kentucky 80	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	50 Makena Drive	open
Java James beans in a cup	Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	20 Oak Hill Rd Suite 208	open
Los Dos Arcos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	345 US-27 Ste 7B	open
Mixing with MJ	Bakery	Bakery		open
Mr D's Pizza and Wholesale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	371 Langdon St	open
Mr Gatti's Pizza Mr Gatti's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	739 S Hwy 27	open
N & M Pizza Of Somerset Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		113 Tradepark Dr	open
Over Easy Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	65A Highway 2227	open
Pinball Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2615 Slate Branch Rd	open
Poppity Popcorn	Food truck		305 Park Ave	open
Project House Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		125 Slate Branch Spur	open
Qzone	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1990 Oak Hill Rd	open
Ross Enterprises No. 2, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		290 N Highway 27	open
Serendipity at the Orange Door	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	113 Trade Park Dr	open
Sinking Valley Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1315 Plato Vanhook Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1361 Highway 27	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1361 Highway 27	open
SPEDA Food Truck Plaza	Food truck		394 Pin Oak Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	305 Langdon St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3013 S. Highway 27	open
The Chalet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	European · American	100 Chapel Dr	open
The Honey Baked Ham Company	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1813 N Highway 27	open
The Honey Baked Ham Company	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1813 N Highway 27	open
The Sweet Spot	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	305 Park Ave	open
Wrapped In Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	750 Coal Pit Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	4	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	11	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	10	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42503. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.