BMIE Market 42553

Pulaski County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±824 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,154 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,284 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,294 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,687 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$942 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$154,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42553
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2006–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42553. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2006–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.8	45	40%	+17.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.9	73	35%	+25.5
Market Momentum Score	97.2	97	25%	+24.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,649	62	40%	+25.0
Median household income (ACS)	52,737	18	40%	+7.4
Households (ACS)	2,154	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.3	91	25%	+22.7
Population (ACS)	5,649	62	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	52,737	18	20%	+3.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	200	99	50%	+49.5
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+29.2
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (12)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Childers-Walters Homefront Up On The Hill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		251 Johnny Dr	open
Downtown Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5775 US-27 #8	open
Earl’s Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5705 N Highway 27	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	55 Raleigh Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		20 E. Hwy 635	open
Mom and Pops Mt Zion Diner	Casual dining	American	2072 KY-1676	open
Paul B's Meat Shop, Deli & Sub Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	6570 N Highway 1247	open
Science Hill Dairy Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6611 KY-1247	open
Speedy Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5775 US-27 #5	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5775 N. Hwy 27, Suite 2 & 3	open
Valley Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	5775 N Highway 27, Ste 8	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2009	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2021	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42553. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.