BMIE Market 42629

Russell County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±649 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,163 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,953 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,114 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$36,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,342 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$168,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,855 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	100.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42629
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+233.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+233.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 11–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.97) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	39 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42629. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.97, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	38.6	39	40%	+15.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.3	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	92.6	93	25%	+23.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,152	61	40%	+24.4
Median household income (ACS)	36,484	4	40%	+1.8
Households (ACS)	2,163	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	233.3	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	5,152	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	36,484	4	20%	+0.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	233.3	99	30%	+29.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 5 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bayou Cats Seafood Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	128 Airport Rd	open
Big Daddy's Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	80 Kendall Rd	open
Burgers And Fries	Quick service	Burgers · American	740 N Main St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1905 North Main	open
Chucky's State Dock Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	6365 State Park Rd	open
Cumberland Crust	Food truck	Pizza · American	141 Esto Rd	open
Cumberland Tap	Bar		3677 KY-92	open
Giovannis Pizza Of Jamestown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	43 Fair Oaks Dr	open
Godfather's Pizza Godfather's Pizza Dayton, OH	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	1905 N Main St	open
Hardee's	Quick service		407 N Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6688 S Highway 127	open
Jamestown Cafe	Casual dining	American	Monument Square	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	674 N Main	open
Momma Jj’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3677 S Highway 92	open
Paula’s in Creelsboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4838 S Highway 379	open
Pepe's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	802 N Main St #2410	open
Reel Java Restaurant	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	302 Monument Square	open
Rey Azteca Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	340 N Main St	open
Rowena Landing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5465 State Park Rd	open
Snap’s Soda Shop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	322 Monument Square	open
Taco Shack	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2192 N Main St	open
The Pizza Man	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	3677 S Highway 92	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42629. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.