BMIE Market 42642

Russell County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,459 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±724 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±300 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,573 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,346 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,633 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$691 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$152,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,761 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	140.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42642
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 18–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42642. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.5	52	40%	+21.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.5	53	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	72.1	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,459	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	52,633	18	40%	+7.3
Households (ACS)	5,535	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.6	41	25%	+10.3
Population (ACS)	13,459	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	52,633	18	20%	+3.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	38.9	87	50%	+43.6
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	13.6	42	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Pizza 5 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 17 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
92.7 The Wave	Bar		7955 Russell Springs Rd	open
Acapulco Mexican Grill Acapulco Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2335 Lakeway Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		966 Maple St	open
Branscum Investments, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		366 Dowell Rd	open
Burger Queen Of Russell Springs, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		57 E Steve Wariner Dr	open
Coe's Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2281 Lakeway Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	74 E Steve Wariner Dr	open
Dragon Buffet	Buffet	Asian · Chinese	221 US-127	open
El Guadalajara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	219 S Highway 127	open
Eli Country Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · American	4152 S Highway 76	open
Esto Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	4624 KY-379	open
Fiesta Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1492 W Steve Wariner Dr	open
Fishtales	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	782 Island Ramp Rd	open
Happy Hawg Bbq & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	23 E Steve Wariner Dr	open
Hardee’s	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2349 US-127	open
Hillbilly Cafe	Casual dining	American	2475 S Highway 127	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2475 Lakeway Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2573 Us-127	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3955 State Highway 76	open
Indian Hills	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	KY-1383	open
Java Springs	Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	23 Bernard Ln	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	598 S. Hwy. 127	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2573 U S 127	open
La Fonda Yummilicious Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Across from KFC, 517 S Hwy Hwy 127	open
Lake Cumberland Hawaiian Shaved Ice	Dessert		1335 W Steve Wariner Dr	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	95 Bernard Ln	open
Little Man's Coffee and Donut	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2327 Lakeway Dr	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		598 S. Hwy. 127	open
McDonald's	Quick service		251 Us Hwy 127	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	251 US-127	open
Millerfield Cafe	Quick service		1900 Millerfield Rd	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	310 Steve Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	2443 Lakeway Dr Russell	open
Skeeter Woods Tavern	Bar	American	1075 Highway 1383	open
SONIC Drive In	Quick service		2489 Lakeway Dr-key Shpg Ctr	open
Stropolis Famous Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2475 US-127	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	375 S Hwy 127	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	305 S Hwy 127	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2475 Lakeway Dr	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		305 S Highway 127	open
The Coffee Hut Russell Springs	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	633 Main St	open
The Little Chop Shop Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		178 Lakeway Dr	open
The Springs Diner	Casual dining · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast	522 Main St	open
The Wheel House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2633 Hwy 1611	open
Three Daughters Coffee & Sweets	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert	543 Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	256 Steve Dr	open
West Deck- N - Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	904 G V Hale Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	19	19	9	8	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	19	10	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	20	20	11	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	19	19	10	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	19	10	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	22	22	12	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	21	10	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	18	7	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	17	7	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	20	11	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	19	19	10	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	17	9	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	19	10	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	20	10	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	19	11	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	20	12	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	11	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	11	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	18	8	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	17	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	25	11	10	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42642. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.