BMIE Market 42717

Cumberland County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,969 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,633 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,558 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,561 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$42,978 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$523 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$145,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	304.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 42717
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 42717. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	41.6	42	40%	+16.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.2	35	35%	+12.3
Market Momentum Score	52.4	52	25%	+13.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,969	63	40%	+25.3
Median household income (ACS)	42,978	8	40%	+3.2
Households (ACS)	2,633	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.4	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	5,969	63	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	42,978	8	20%	+1.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · BBQ 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annie Ruby's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	204 Court House Sq	open
Annie Ruby's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	204 Courthouse Sq	open
Black Iron Garlic Salt	Food truck		101 Albany Loop No 2 Rd	open
Bulliedogs BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	3830 Celina Rd	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	311 North Main Street	open
Dale Hollow Sweets	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	2806 State Park Rd	open
El Rey Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	225 N Main St	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	311 N Main St	open
Hamilton's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	211 Hill St	open
Holy Grounds	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	140 Short St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8651 Albany Highway	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	100 N Main St	open
Kountry Kitchen Foods	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American · Sandwiches	111 Glasgow Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	110 Keen St	open
Smitty’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)		155 Short St	open
Sounds Good	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	802 S Main St	open
Southern Kentucky Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4890 Albany Rd	open
Southern Roots Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	228 Keen St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	412 Court House Dr	open
Sulphur Creek Resort/Mike's Landing Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3622 Sulphur Creek Rd	open
SWEETPEA'S TREATS	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	811 S Main St	open
Tasty Foods	Quick service	American · Burgers	203 Glasgow Rd	open
The Busy Bees Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	74 Morgan Rd	open
The Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	408 Courthouse Sq	open
The Little Mess Haul	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	116 Keen St	open
The Northend BBQ & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	920 N Main St	open
The Panther Den Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		132 N Main St	open
Up the Creek Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		930 Norris Branch Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 42717. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.