BMIE Market 43004

Franklin County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,419 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±667 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,727 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,518 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,808 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$335,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43004
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43004. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.2	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.1	82	35%	+28.7
Market Momentum Score	70.4	70	25%	+17.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,477	90	40%	+35.9
Median household income (ACS)	101,175	82	40%	+32.7
Households (ACS)	11,419	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.2	97	25%	+24.3
Population (ACS)	31,477	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	101,175	82	20%	+16.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 4 · Bakery 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allman's Pub	Bar		1281 Jackson Hole Dr	open
B'S Landing	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	0000 Broad St	open
B'Scotti - Homemade Italian Biscotti	Bakery	Bakery · Italian	161 Kingsmeadow Ln	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	50 Reynoldsburg-New Albany Rd N	open
C. Krueger's Finest Baked Goods	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6845 Commerce Ct	open
Camille's Sidewalk Cafe	Café	Coffee	8086 E Broad St	open
Farmer Brothers	Coffee shop	Coffee	6767 Commerce Court Dr	open
Flanagan's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	3001 Reynoldsburg - New Albany Rd	open
Flyers Pizza & Subs Flyers Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	962 N Waggoner Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	7175 E Broad St	open
Lantern Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7163 E Broad St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7183 E Broad St	open
Red Rock Pub	Bar		7167 E Broad St	open
Ron's BBQ & Catering	Catering	BBQ · American	Franklin County, 7911 Ashenden Dr	open
S and D Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6775 Commerce Court Dr	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	930 N Waggoner Rd	open
Stadz Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6755 Taylor Rd B	open
Aunt Millie's	Bakery	Bakery	6720 Commerce Court Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	10	2	8	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	13	3	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43004. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43054	3.8 mi	53	2023
43230	3.9 mi	123	2023
43068	4.2 mi	94	2023
43213	4.4 mi	99	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.