BMIE Market 43056

Licking County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±776 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,006 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,439 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,246 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,014 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$253,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	87.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43056
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+1.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+41.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+48.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 43–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43056. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.4	72	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.7	50	35%	+17.4
Market Momentum Score	59.9	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,637	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	80,014	62	40%	+24.9
Households (ACS)	7,006	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	1.9	48	35%	+16.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	31.2	19	25%	+4.7
Population (ACS)	17,637	79	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	80,014	62	20%	+12.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	1.9	48	30%	+14.3
20-year restaurant growth	41.0	59	20%	+11.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (96)

By cuisine

American 17 · Pizza 12 · Mexican 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 7 · Italian 7 · Burgers 6 · Bakery 5 · Asian 4 · Breakfast 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Seafood 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 28 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Other 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	967 Hebron Road	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	540 HEBRON RD	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	771 S 30th St	open
B Lee Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		642 Hebron Rd	open
Bakers Table Heath	Bakery	Bakery		open
Billy Lee Chop Suey House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	642 Hebron Rd	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1051 Hebron Rd.	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	853 S 30th ST	open
Bombay Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	842 S 30th St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	603 Hebron Road	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	856 Hebron Rd	open
Charley's Grilled Subs	Other	Sandwiches	771 S 30th St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	515 Hebron Rd	open
Coffee Shack Coffee Roasters & Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	409 S 22nd St #3	open
Crenos Pizza Creno's Pizza- Bridgeport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	381 S 30th St	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Dairy Isle Heath	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	303 S 30th St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	720 Hebron Rd	open
Dawes Japanese Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese		open
Dizurts Custom Cakes and More	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	381 S 30th St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1000 Hebron Rd	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	527 Hebron Rd	open
Duchess Duke & Duchess Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	1101 Hebron Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		911 Hebron Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	668 Hebron Road	open
Equus Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		12641 Fairview Rd SE	open
Fazoli's Fazoli's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	539 Hebron Rd	open
Firehouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32 Licking View Dr	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	709 Hebron Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	642 Hebron Rd	open
Goumas Candyland Goumas Candyland	Dessert	Dessert	19 Claren Dr	open
Homestead Beer Co.	Brewery / taproom		811 Irving Wick Dr W	open
Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	790 S 30th St	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	651 Hebron Rd	open
Jamyers Ii, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		780 S 30th St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	609 Hebron Rd	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	792 Hebron Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1031 Hebron Rd	open
Kanji Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	661 S 30th St	open
Kanji Of Lau Family Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		661 S 30th St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	780 South 30th Street	open
La Paloma Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1112 Hebron Rd	open
Lee's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		771 S 30th St	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	863 Hebron Rd	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	71 Central Pkwy	open
Mad Pizza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		381 S 30th St	open
Mark Pi's Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1168 Hebron Rd	open
Massey's Pizza Massey's Pizza	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	771 S 30th St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	789 S 30th St	open
Mi Fiesta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	911 Hebron Rd	open
Nonis 121 Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)		842 S 30th St	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls	898 Hebron Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery	729 Hebron Rd	open
Papa Foti's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	381 S 30th St	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	566 hebron rd	open
Pappy's Grill on 79	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1122 Hebron Rd	open
Pappy's To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	1132 Hebron Rd	open
Peet's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	719 Hebron Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	846 Hebron Rd	open
Plaza Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	830 S 30th St	open
Pub #22 at McLaughlin Lodge	Bar		3559 Brownsville Rd SE	open
Puerto Vallarta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	869 Hebron Rd	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	709 Hebron Rd	open
R H Penick Co Limited	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1504 Blue Jay Rd	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	781 Hebron Road	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	909 Hebron Rd	open
Roots Wellness Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	381 S 30th St Ste f	open
Rosie's Self Serve Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	645 S 30th St	open
Royal Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1006 Hebron Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)		651 Hebron Rd	open
Sand Hollow Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		12558 Sand Hollow Rd	open
Seraphinea's Coffee & Tea Works	Coffee shop	Coffee	771 S 30th St	open
Shade Shade on State Street	Bar · Casual dining	American	850 S 30th St	open
Simply Fit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Healthy / salads / bowls	857 S 30th St Ste A	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	695 South 30Th Street	open
Stacy's Homestyle Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	833 S 30th St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	910 Hebron Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1134 Hebron Rd	open
Subway Restaurants	Other	Sandwiches	911 Hebron Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	790 S 30th St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	771 S 30th St	open
The Tailgate Club	Bar		351 S 30th St	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	875 Hebron Rd	open
Tlaquepaque Tlaquepaque, Canton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	957 Hebron Rd	open
Tokyo Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	789 Hebron Rd #2300	open
Treadway Beers	Bar		4619 Gratiot Rd SE	open
Tumbleweed Tex Mex Grill & Margarita Bar Tumbleweed Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	899 Hebron Rd	open
W.G. Grinders	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	659 S 30th St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	911 Hebron Rd	open
Weathervane Kettle Corn	Dessert		771 S 30th St	open
Wendy's	Quick service		911 Hebron Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	530 Hebron Rd	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	904 Hebron Rd	open
Wingdepo	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers · American	775 Hebron Rd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings	83 Central Pkwy	open
Whit's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	844 S 30th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	40	37	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	40	37	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	35	32	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	42	41	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	43	38	13	21	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	42	37	14	19	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	47	43	18	21	4	1	NAICS1997
2001	45	40	15	23	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	38	36	15	20	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	41	39	15	20	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	45	43	13	24	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	44	43	14	25	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	45	44	14	26	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	41	39	13	23	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	40	40	12	25	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	41	41	13	25	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	44	44	17	24	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	49	49	18	25	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	51	51	20	28	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	55	54	20	28	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	51	51	19	28	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	51	51	20	28	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	52	52	21	28	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	51	50	21	24	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	51	50	22	24	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	47	46	20	22	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	48	47	20	24	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	51	50	20	27	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	51	49	20	26	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	58	55	20	27	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43056. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43030	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.