BMIE Market 43074

Delaware County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,873 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,488 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$119,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,773 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,634 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$426,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,617 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	85.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43074
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+79.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+138.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	50 (range 48–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.92) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43074. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.92, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.9	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.2	64	35%	+22.5
Market Momentum Score	69.9	70	25%	+17.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,873	79	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	119,296	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	6,217	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.5	69	35%	+24.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.5	26	25%	+6.5
Population (ACS)	16,873	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	119,296	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10.3	68	50%	+34.0
10-year restaurant growth	26.5	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	79.2	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (72)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 11 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 6 · Mexican 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 21 · Bakery 9 · Café 9 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 5 · Food truck 3 · Other 3 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alum Creek Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		6999 E State Route 37	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7259 E State Route 37	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Quick service · Bakery	Bakery	400 S Wilson Rd	open
Barrio - Burrito Bar Barrio - Burrito Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	161 State Route 3	open
Big Walnut Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	175 OH-3	open
Bob Evans Restaurants Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7315 E State Route 37	open
Branch Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	34 S Vernon St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7768 E. State Route 37	open
Center Inn Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	14659 OH-37	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7162 Longhorn Dr Ste A	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	60 Fourwinds Dr	open
Creme Corner	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	60 N Columbus St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	211 W Cherry St	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7735 State Rd Rt 37	open
District 13	Casual dining · Bar		45 E Granville St	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	101 W. Cherry St	open
Duchess Duchess Shoppes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7331 E OH-37	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		747 West Cherry Street	open
Fairbanks Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	7096 State Route 656	open
Firehouse Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		38 S Vernon St	open
Godiva Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	400 S Wilson Rd	open
Good Fella'z Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	245 N Columbus St	open
Hogback Bbq Pit	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	2001 Hogback Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	480 W Cherry Street	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	167 OH-3	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	440 S Miller Dr	open
Kenzie's Kandi and Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	21 E Granville St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7332 E Sr 37	open
Little Lemons Play Cafe	Café	Coffee	465 Commerce Dr Suite B	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7309 E State Route 37	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	85 N Miller Drive	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7352 E OH-37	open
Mi Sombrero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	488 W Cherry St	open
New China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	165 OH-3	open
Oak Hill BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	60 N Columbus St	open
Ohio Pizza 11 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		167 State Route 3	open
On3performance On3performance	Bar		499 Commerce Dr	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	7170 Fourwinds Ct	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	55 S Miller Dr	open
PJ's Family Restaurant	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Pizza · Coffee	571 W Cherry St.	open
Rise Pies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	400 S Wilson Rd	open
Smok'in Vet & Fire BBQ	Food truck		241 W Cherry St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7305 Sr 36/37	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	131 N State St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	400 S Wilson Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	747 W Cherry St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7680 E SR 37	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	400 S Wilson Rd Ste 570	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Sunbury Diner Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 E Cherry St	open
Sunbury Grill	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	38 E Cherry St	open
Surve	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6 E Cherry St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	117 State Route 3	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7255 State Route 37	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7735 State Rd Rt 37	open
The Other Guy Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15910 OH-37	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	125 OH-3	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7332 E State Route 37	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	426 S. Miller Drive	open
Universal Composite Llcdba Uc Trailer Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Kintner Pkwy	open
Village Coffee of Sunbury	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	25 E Granville St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	7163 E OH-37	open
Wah Yuen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	36 S Vernon St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	88 Miller Drive	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7272 E State Route 37	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service		7120 US RT 37	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	7120 E OH-37	open
Whits Frozen Custard Whit's Frozen Custard, Hilliard, Ohio	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	101 W Cherry St A	open
Winery at Porter Central	Winery / distillery / taproom		8290 Porter Central Rd	open
Yellis tacos	Food truck	Mexican	119 OH-3	open
Yum EE Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	784 Cheshire Rd	open
Yum-Ee Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	14 S Vernon St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	18	17	8	6	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	25	24	12	9	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	22	21	10	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	25	24	10	12	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	24	23	7	13	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	25	24	8	14	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	25	23	9	13	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	25	24	8	14	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	24	23	8	13	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	31	30	8	18	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	31	31	9	20	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	32	31	9	20	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	30	28	8	17	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	30	29	10	17	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	30	30	8	19	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	34	34	9	21	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	37	36	12	19	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	36	35	12	19	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	36	36	12	19	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	39	38	11	21	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	40	39	11	23	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	43	42	11	25	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	43	41	11	25	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	44	43	11	26	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	45	11	29	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	43	11	27	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43074. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43021	4.7 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.