BMIE Market 43076

Perry County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±878 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,743 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,051 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,164 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$922 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$300,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43076
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43076. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.7	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.7	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	77.0	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,456	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	91,085	74	40%	+29.7
Households (ACS)	3,743	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.8	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	9,456	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	91,085	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	44.4	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 20 · Casual dining 14 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arnolds Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Bake House On Buckeye Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)		619 Newark Ave SE	open
Beach House Pub	Bar · Casual dining		13574 Shell Beach Rd NE	open
Big Stan's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		8635 Blackbird Ln	open
Buckeye keys	Casual dining · Bar		5098 Alder Dr	open
Buckeye Lake Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	14675 Zion Rd	open
Buckeye Lake Moose 2434	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		8985 Blackbird Ln NW	open
Buckeye Lake Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13750 Rosewood Dr NE	open
Buffalo Lick	Bar		13607 Shell Beach Rd NE	open
Captain Woody's	Bar		10055 Avondale Rd	open
Champs Pizza	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	14630 Township Rd 1061	open
Copper Penny Buckeye Lake	Casual dining · Bar	American	15396 Township Rd 403	open
Firehouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4 S Main St	open
Herb N'Ewe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11755 National Rd	open
Luckys Lakeside Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	14595 Zion Rd	open
Minnie's Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13034 King Rd NE	open
Nana's and Papa's	Casual dining	American	14714 Railroad St	open
National Road Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		13047 National Rd SE	open
Papa Boo's	Casual dining · Bar	American	11356 Avondale Rd	open
Port Lounge & Smokehouse	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	9308 Township Rd 79	open
Route 13 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	14547 Township Rd 1061 Unit C	open
Sailor Ray's Tiki Bar	Bar		462 Lakeshore Blvd	open
Shannon's Pit Stop	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	10040 OH-13	open
Shannon’s Pit Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10040 OH-13, Thornville, OH 43076	open
Sopapilla Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14630 township Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14900 OH-13	open
Sweet Tooth Candle Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	15055 Empire Rd NW	open
The Copper Penny Tavern	Bar		15396 Township Road 403	open
The Dirty Oar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11272 Avondale Rd	open
Trece Tequilas	Bar	Mexican	9510 Jacksontown Rd	open
Vinberige Vinyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		5400 Blacklick Eastern Rd	open
Waterfront on Buckeye Lake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10055 Sunfish Ln	open
Cristy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11356 Avondale Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	13	6	3	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	1	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	—	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	10	7	1	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	13	9	2	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	6	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	16	11	6	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	20	13	7	4	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	20	13	6	4	3	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43076. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.