BMIE Market 43713

Belmont County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,516 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±295 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,589 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,487 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,417 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$763 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$187,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,900 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	90.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43713
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43713. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.9	47	40%	+18.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.1	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	74.2	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,516	65	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	53,927	20	40%	+8.1
Households (ACS)	2,589	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.0	30	25%	+7.6
Population (ACS)	6,516	65	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	53,927	20	20%	+4.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	7.1	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Filipino 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 6 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1105 E Main St	open
Barnesville Dq Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Dessert	402 E Main St	open
Barnesville Eagles	Bar		117 N Chestnut Street	open
Beeology Coffee & Bakery Company	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	629 E Main St	open
Blue Moon Tavern	Bar		126 W Main St	open
Bob's Pizza Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	110 E South St	open
D&J's Pizza Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	112 E Church St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	146 W Main St	open
Fairyland Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	59345 Somerton Hwy	open
Hollie's Cookie Hut 'n' Cake's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	64233 Mt Olivett Rd NE	open
Home Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	115 W Main St	open
Hudson's Brick Oven Pizza & Homemade Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Pizza	119 E Pike St	open
Jefferis Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 E Main St	open
Lisa's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Filipino	112 E Church St	open
Main Street Barrel House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		137 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	825 E Main St	open
Misner Barnesville Dairy Queen, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		402 E Main St	open
Mt Olivett Saloon	Bar	American	63720 Mt Olivett Rd	open
My Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	123 E Main St	open
New China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	201 S Chestnut St	open
On the Rocks Grill and Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Noodles / ramen / pho	787 E Main St	open
Primary Aim Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		910 E Main St	open
Rocks Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · American	123 E Main St	open
Shamrock Tropical Sno	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	999 Shamrock Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	220 S Chestnut	open
Tlaquepaque Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1105 E Main St	open
Two Stack Bar-B-Que	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	910 East Main Street	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	15	4	10	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	3	11	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	2	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	1	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	1	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	1	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	15	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	—	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43713. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43719	4.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.