BMIE Market 43907

Harrison County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,960 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±359 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,170 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,008 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,051 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,798 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$119,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,246 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	161.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43907
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-46.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 2–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	32 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43907. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	41.1	41	40%	+16.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	31.9	32	35%	+11.2
Market Momentum Score	42.8	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,960	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	46,941	11	40%	+4.6
Households (ACS)	2,170	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.1	56	25%	+14.0
Population (ACS)	4,960	60	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	46,941	11	20%	+2.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 5 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blended Blizz, LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	157 W Market St	open
China King China King Super Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	151 W Market St	open
Christopher's Farm Goods and Provisions	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	128 E Market St	open
DiAngelo's Sports Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	114 E Market St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	516 N Lincoln	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	636 Lincoln Ave Unit 1	open
Eagles Nest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
El Bronco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American		open
Ice Cream Island	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	794-898 E Market St	open
Ice Cream Wagon Creations	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	49200 High St Rd	open
Johnny D's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	82439 Cadiz-Jewett Rd	open
JP's Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	American	47350 Unionvale Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	663 Lincoln Ave	open
Ohio Valley Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		131 E Market St	open
Peg's Dining Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	42260 Cadiz Dennison Rd	open
Pizza Express Pizza Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	125 N Buffalo St	open
Shurfast Food Mart	Quick service		217 E Market St	open
Stairway Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Coffee	201 S Main St Ste B	open
Sunshine's Subzero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	43000 Industrial Park Rd	open
The Back Porch	Bar		412 North Main St	open
The Twisted Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	43000 Industrial Park Rd	open
Thistle Glen Honey	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		81101 Kanoski Rd	open
Timi's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	201 S Main St	open
Vineyard 22	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		83800 Monzula Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	636 Lincoln	open
Ranch To Table Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		124 S Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	12	3	6	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	2	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43907. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43981	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.