BMIE Market 43964

Jefferson County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,952 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,096 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±249 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,575 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,498 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,365 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,865 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$132,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,587 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	47.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43964
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43964. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.0	54	40%	+21.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.1	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	65.2	65	25%	+16.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,952	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	60,365	30	40%	+12.1
Households (ACS)	4,096	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.8	47	25%	+11.7
Population (ACS)	8,952	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	60,365	30	20%	+6.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.1	64	50%	+32.0
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 9 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baby-Boyz BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	206 N 4th St	open
Baldini	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee		open
Chaisson's KAJUN Services LLC	Food truck		209 N 7th St	open
Countryside Sweet Cravings	Bakery	Bakery	2758 County Road 56	open
Dairy Isle	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies		open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1377 Franklin St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	1861 Franklin St	open
Eric Barnes Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		805 N 5th St	open
Favourites Dining Room at Woodbine Racetrack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		555 Rexdale Boulevard	open
Frog's Place	Casual dining · Bar	American	406 Market St	open
Gamberoni Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Italian	3238 Yonge St	open
Gem City Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	901 Franklin St	open
Iggy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1332 Franklin St	open
kitch’s kitchen	Bakery · Casual dining	Bakery · Breakfast · American	220 N 4th St	open
Knoxville Mill & Bake Co.	Bakery	Bakery	485 County Road 47	open
Last Resort Riverfront Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1200 N River Ave	open
Lost Dutchman’s Grub Hub	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 S 4th St	open
Mama G's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	401 S 4th St Ste A	open
Margaret's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	805 N 5th St	open
Mascot Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		31 Mercer St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1850 Franklin St	open
Misty River Marina	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1200 N River Ave	open
New Golden House New Golden House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese	715 Trenton St	open
Paul's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	224 N 4th St	open
Reverie State	Restaurant (service type not stated)		235 N 4th St	open
Rusty Bull Taco Co. Rusty Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	803 Franklin St	open
Sam's Subs & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)		311 Main St	open
Scaddabush Italian Kitchen & Bar - Yonge & Gerrard Scaddabush	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	382 Yonge Street Unit #7	open
Shooters Bar Grill Restaurants Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)		236 N 4th St	open
Squids Brewery llc	Brewery / taproom · Bar		800 Federal St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1830 Franklin St	open
The Good Fork	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	2432 Bloor St. West	open
The Sweet Stop Bakery LLC \| Toronto OH	Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Bakery · Juice / smoothies	805 Franklin St	open
Tri B's Coffee Shop, LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	241 N 4th St	open
Tuckers Tavern Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	914 Henley St	open
White Front Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 Franklin St	open
Yummy’s Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1104 N 4th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	10	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	16	11	3	5	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	16	10	3	5	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	17	11	4	5	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	17	10	4	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	18	12	4	7	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	14	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	12	5	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	17	12	4	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	12	4	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	18	12	4	6	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	18	12	3	7	2	5	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	5	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	18	12	3	7	2	5	NAICS2007
2011	16	11	3	6	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	20	14	5	7	2	5	NAICS2012
2013	18	12	3	7	2	5	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	5	7	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	11	2	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	18	14	3	8	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	4	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	3	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	19	14	3	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	3	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	4	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	5	8	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43964. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43926	2.9 mi	1	2005
43961	3.4 mi	2	2016
43952	5.0 mi	44	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.