BMIE Market 43968

Columbiana County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,623 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,182 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,384 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$102,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,524 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43968
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	5 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43968. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.7	51	40%	+20.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.3	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	4.8	5	25%	+1.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,623	65	40%	+25.9
Median household income (ACS)	59,200	28	40%	+11.3
Households (ACS)	3,077	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-60	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.0	88	25%	+22.0
Population (ACS)	6,623	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	59,200	28	20%	+5.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 5 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	50%	+3.3
10-year restaurant growth	-60	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-50	4	20%	+0.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · BBQ 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anthony's Food And Spirits	Bar		209 3rd St	open
Bella C's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	841 Main St	open
Busy Bee Tavern & Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	333 Main St	open
Carr-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1240 Willow Ln	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	400 3rd St	open
Down On Main Street	Casual dining · Bar		358 Main St	open
Golden Carry-Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	503 9th St	open
Kat's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1001-1085 Main St	open
Main Street Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	355 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 Lisbon St	open
My bar	Bar · Casual dining		358 Main St	open
Nick's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	349 Main St	open
Peps Carry Out - Wells	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1800 Clark Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	556 Main St	open
Ralphs Crystal Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		843 Main St	open
Riverside Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	565 Wells Avenue Ext	open
Simply Sweet Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	459 Main St	open
Some Place Else	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	400 Main St	open
Sweet Amelias Homemade Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	525 Main St	open
The Gathering Place -Elevate Coffeeshop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	10	7	3	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	15	11	7	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	8	5	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	12	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	12	8	4	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	3	3	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	5	3	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	2	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	2	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	2	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	3	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43968. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
26050	3.7 mi	3	2018

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.