BMIE Market 44022

Cuyahoga County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,617 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,812 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,516 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,104 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$145,882 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,396 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±498 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$482,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44022
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+69.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+63.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	50 (range 43–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44022. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.4	85	40%	+34.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.7	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	86.4	86	25%	+21.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,617	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	145,882	96	40%	+38.3
Households (ACS)	6,812	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	69.2	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.5	24	25%	+6.1
Population (ACS)	16,617	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	145,882	96	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	57.1	92	50%	+46.1
10-year restaurant growth	69.2	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (71)

By cuisine

American 16 · Coffee 10 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Italian 5 · Steakhouse 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · European 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Brazilian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Casual dining 14 · Bar 12 · Café 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Augie's Pizza & Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5210 Chillicothe Rd	open
Batuqui on the Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Steakhouse · Latin American (other)	17 E Orange St	open
Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	95 N Main St	open
Blake's Seafood Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	17 River St	open
Bravo Development	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 N Main St	open
Burntwood Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	504 Washington St	open
Carriage Stone Kitchen	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	52 Carriage Stone Dr	open
Carson’s Caramels	Dessert	Dessert	46 Shopping Plz	open
Chagrin Falls Popcorn Shop	Dessert	Dessert	53 N Main St	open
Chagrin Valley Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		540 Washington St	open
Cru Uncorked	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	34300 Chagrin Blvd	open
Cultivate	Café	Coffee	524 Washington St	open
Dave's Cosmic Subs Dave's Cosmic Subs - Mt Vernon	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	9 River St	open
David's Pizza Connection Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4951 Brainard Rd	open
Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	82 N Main St	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	54 Shopping Plz	open
ETalian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13 Bell St	open
Evergreen Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	69 N Main St	open
Flour \| Moreland Hills	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		34205 Chagrin Blvd	open
Fresh Start Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	16 N Main St	open
Greenville Inn	Bar		7150 Pine St	open
Grindage Sandwich Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	7150 Pine St	open
Heartwood Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	20 N Main St	open
Heartwood Roastery	Coffee shop	Coffee	20 N Main St	open
Hunan by the Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	508 Washington St	open
Jb Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16 N Main St	open
Jekyll's Kitchen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	17 River St	open
Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	67 N Main St	open
Joey's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	44 N Main St	open
Jojo's Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American · Italian	87 West St	open
Layers Cake Boutique	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	49 W Orange St	open
Lemon Falls Cafe and Marketplace	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	95 N Main St	open
Lola's Bistro	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	European · American	86 N Main St	open
Lopez Chagrin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	506 E Washington St	open
Luna Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	34105 Chagrin Blvd	open
M Bevy Burntwood Tavern	Bar		87 West St	open
M Italian Burntwood Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	22 W Orange St	open
Madam Springs Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 N Franklin St	open
Main Street Cupcakes	Bakery	Bakery	9 N Franklin St	open
Marios International	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Bell St	open
Master Pizza Master Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	152 Bell St	open
McDonaldd Of Chagrin Falls	Café	Coffee		open
ML Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		34105 Chagrin Blvd	open
Muvel	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	524 E Washington St	open
Ncr Ventures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33 River St Ste 12	open
Oddfellows Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	16 N Main St	open
Panini's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		540 Washington St	open
Paris Room	Casual dining		7 N Franklin St	open
Parkside Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Plaza Dr	open
Pub Frato Chagrin Falls	Casual dining · Bar	American	25 Pleasant Aly	open
Raintree	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	25 Pleasant Dr	open
RED The Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	200 Park Pl Ste 130	open
Rick's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	86 N Main St	open
Spinchagrin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 N Main St Ste 100	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	65 N Main St	open
Sugar Me Desserterie	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	49 W Orange St #5	open
Tame Rabbit Specialty Coffee & Roaster	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	516 E Washington St	open
THAT HAWAIIAN GUY'S BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific	14530 N CHESHIRE St	open
That Hawaiian Guy's BBQ	Catering	BBQ · American	576 Industrial Pkwy	open
The Pizza Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4951 Brainard Rd	open
The Reserve	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	42 N Main St	open
The Set Fitness	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 S Franklin St	open
The Sleepy Rooster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	5210 Chillicothe Rd	open
The Village Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28149 Miles Rd	open
The Wine Bar	Bar		31 W Orange St	open
Two and Company	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	177 E Washington St	open
Umami	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	42 N Main St	open
Village Martini & Wine Bar	Bar		516 E Washington St	open
Yours Truly Chagrin Falls Yours Truly Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	30 N Main St	open
Flip Side Chagrin Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	44 N Main St	closed
Ponyboys Kitchen And Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		506 Washington St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	31	27	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	32	31	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	33	31	22	7	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	31	27	20	4	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	27	23	19	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	28	24	17	4	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	27	22	13	7	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	31	28	17	7	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	38	32	15	7	10	2	NAICS2002
2005	34	30	13	6	11	2	NAICS2002
2006	26	21	12	5	4	3	NAICS2002
2007	27	24	15	4	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	24	22	15	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	21	20	14	2	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	23	22	16	3	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	26	23	15	3	5	2	NAICS2007
2012	30	26	19	3	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	30	26	16	6	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	31	27	16	6	5	3	NAICS2012
2015	34	30	19	6	5	3	NAICS2012
2016	36	31	21	6	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	32	28	17	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	28	15	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	29	16	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	33	19	7	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	43	38	25	7	6	3	NAICS2017
2022	48	43	27	9	7	3	NAICS2022
2023	49	44	27	10	7	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44022. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44072	4.4 mi	1	2012
44139	4.8 mi	57	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.