BMIE Market 44041

Ashtabula County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,003 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,227 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,979 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,189 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,662 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,671 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$174,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	64.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44041
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+39.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 32–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44041. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.0	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34.2	34	35%	+12.0
Market Momentum Score	50.7	51	25%	+12.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,003	76	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	60,662	31	40%	+12.3
Households (ACS)	6,227	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.9	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.9	22	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	14,003	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	60,662	31	20%	+6.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	-4.9	21	30%	+6.3
20-year restaurant growth	39.3	58	20%	+11.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (119)

By cuisine

American 28 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 7 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Bar 40 · Casual dining 26 · Winery / distillery / taproom 20 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alibi Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		47 W Main St	open
Benny Vino Urban Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		834 S County Line Rd	open
Best Friend's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1741 S Broadway Ave	open
Biscotti Winery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1520 Harpersfield Rd	open
Cake Corner Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	18 N Broadway	open
Capo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5453 Lake Rd E	open
Capo's Pizza 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	118 W Main St	open
Captain Gus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	5404 Lake Rd E	open
Cheesesteak On The Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	5340 Lake Rd E	open
China Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	250 E Main St	open
Chip & Nia's Sports Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Quick service · Bar		Lake Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		1800 S Broadway	open
Chubby Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	4964 S Spencer Dr	open
Compadres Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	771 S Broadway	open
Coopers Express Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	148 S Broadway	open
Corkscrew Taphouse Winery + Tasting Bar	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1515 State Rte 534	open
Corner Coffeehouse Inc	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5464 Lake Rd E	open
Crosswinds Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	5653 Lake Rd E	open
Crowing Hen Saloon Hoss's Steak and Sea House	Casual dining · Bar		4949 Golf Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Casual dining · Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5377 Lake Rd	open
Darkroom Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		32 N Broadway	open
Deer's Leap Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1520 Harpersfield Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	164 N Broadway	open
Driftwood Point Beach Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	6827 Lake Rd W	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	1150 S Broadway	open
East End Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	5236 Lake Rd E	open
Eddies Grill (Geneva on the Lake)	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American		open
Effin Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Caribbean	5340 Lake Rd E	open
El Carrito	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	5326 Lake Rd	open
Ferrante Winery & Ristorante Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	5585 N River Rd W	open
Flynn Brothers Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1026 S Broadway	open
Geneva Pavillion	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Geneva Pavillion	open
Geneva Wine Tours	Winery / distillery / taproom		6710 N Ridge Rd W	open
GOTL Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		5243 Lake Rd	open
Gotl Unlimited Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5422 Lake Rd E	open
Grape Escape, Incorporated	Restaurant (service type not stated)		355 N Broadway	open
Grumpys ole Fashioned Lemonade	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	5452 Lake Rd E	open
Harpersfield Vineyard Harpersfield Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		6387 State Route 307	open
High Tide Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5504 Lake Rd E	open
Honeybee's	Casual dining	American	15 W Main St	open
Hong Kong King Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	250 E Main St	open
Horizons Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4888 N Broadway	open
Hoss's Saloon	Bar		4949 Golf Ave	open
Hundley Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6451 State Route 307	open
Joe Flaco's Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 E Main St	open
Joe's Place	Bar · Casual dining		5496 Lake Rd E	open
Katie's Korner Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5426 Lake Rd E	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1010 S. Broadway	open
KFC KFC	Quick service		1010 S Broadway	open
Kosicek Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		636 State Rte 534	open
Kosicek Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	636 S Broadway	open
La Crust bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	6387 OH-307	open
Log Cabin	Bar		5306 Lake Rd E	open
Luigi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	37 N Broadway	open
M Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		6193 S River Rd W	open
Madsen Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5426 Lake Rd E	open
Margarita King Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	771 S Broadway	open
Mary's Diner Mary's Diner - Geneva	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	666 E Main St	open
Mary's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5023 New St	open
Max's Pizza & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	5453 Lake Rd E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1807 S Broadway	open
Mel's Diner GOTL	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4964 S Spencer Ave	open
Mike's Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean	5408 Lake Rd E	open
Monarch Meadow Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1599 OH-534 S	open
Mr. Hero Mr Hero Mansfield Ohio	Other	Sandwiches · Burgers · American	772 S Broadway	open
Murphy's Pub & Ale House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	5475-B Lake Rd E	open
Oak Room Lounge	Bar		5475 Lake Rd	open
Off the Chart	Bar	Asian	4494 Golf Ave	open
Old Firehouse Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5499 Lake Rd	open
Old Mill Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		403 S Broadway	open
Pavilion Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5266 Lake Rd E	open
Piero's Pasta House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	5367 Lake Rd E	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1800 S Broadway	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	777 S Broadway	open
Pizza Roto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1769 S Broadway	open
Popp-a-razzi	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1800 S Broadway	open
Popp-A-Razzi	Dessert	Dessert	112 E Main St	open
Pristov Pub	Bar · Casual dining			open
Pucker Up Candy Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	5334 Lake Rd E	open
Pueblo Real Geneva	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	41 N Broadway	open
Quick Sells	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1635 State Route 534 S	open
Red Dog Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		574 N Broadway	open
Rosemary's BBQ Shack	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	308 E Main St	open
Rosemary's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	308 E Main St	open
Ruff Life on the Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	5514 Lake Rd	open
Sandy Chanty	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	5457 Lake Rd E	open
Scribblers Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	388 S Broadway	open
Seven Brothers Distilling Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		6527 N River Rd W	open
Simply Homemade By Emily	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	3688 N County Line Rd	open
Smooth Brews	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	5514 Lake Rd E	open
South River Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6062 S River Rd W	open
Southtown Smokerz	Food truck		5326 Lake Rd E	open
Sportsterz Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		5422 Lake Rd E	open
Spring Hill Orchards	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	6062 S Ridge Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	3845 N Broadway	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	5343 Spire Cir	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1640 Route 534	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1026 S. Broadway	open
Sugar Rush Stuff	Bakery	Bakery	318 S Broadway	open
Summer Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5404 Lake Rd E Unit A	open
Sunrise Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	5367 Lake Rd E	open
The Black Door Tavern	Winery / distillery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		6202 S River Rd W	open
The Boot - Geneva, OH	Casual dining · Bar	American	3750 N Broadway	open
The Farmer Butcher Chef Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1752 S Broadway	open
The Grand River Manor	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1153 Mechanicsville Rd	open
The Loft Restaurant & Lounge Sun Outdoors	Bar · Casual dining	American	4710 Lake Rd E	open
The Pickled Pepper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4949 Golf Ave	open
The Winery at Spring Hill	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6062 South Ridge Road West	open
Three Sips Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		4501 Wheeler Creek Rd	open
Time Square Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5465 Lake Rd E	open
Virant Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		541 Atkins Rd	open
Water St Bar@Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	55 Water St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1782 S Broadway	open
Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley Wine Growers of the Grand River Valley	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4573 State Route 307 E	open
Yankies Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	5482 Lake Rd E	open
Zeppe's of Geneva	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	152 S Broadway	open
Zeppe's Pizzeria Zeppe's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5340 Lake Rd E	open
Zeppe's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5514 Lake Rd E	open
Chops Grille & Tap House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1752 S Broadway	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	21	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	30	21	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1996	29	19	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	34	23	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	36	24	12	10	2	12	NAICS1997
1999	37	26	13	9	4	11	NAICS1997
2000	37	26	13	10	3	10	NAICS1997
2001	35	25	11	11	3	9	NAICS1997
2002	32	25	8	13	4	7	NAICS1997
2003	35	28	9	14	4	7	NAICS2002
2004	39	30	9	16	5	9	NAICS2002
2005	38	30	13	14	3	7	NAICS2002
2006	37	28	13	12	3	7	NAICS2002
2007	39	33	16	14	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	39	34	15	16	3	4	NAICS2007
2009	36	31	14	14	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	37	33	13	17	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	46	40	15	20	4	5	NAICS2007
2012	49	43	17	21	4	4	NAICS2012
2013	49	41	15	22	4	6	NAICS2012
2014	46	41	15	21	5	4	NAICS2012
2015	46	41	18	19	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	43	38	17	17	4	4	NAICS2012
2017	44	39	19	15	5	4	NAICS2017
2018	41	36	20	13	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	41	36	20	13	3	4	NAICS2017
2020	41	36	19	13	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	43	39	21	14	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	43	39	22	13	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	46	39	19	14	6	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44041. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.