BMIE Market 44149

Cuyahoga County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±877 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,423 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,683 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,173 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,343 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$308,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,036 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44149
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44149. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.3	85	40%	+34.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.5	85	35%	+29.9
Market Momentum Score	79.8	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,098	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	118,173	90	40%	+35.9
Households (ACS)	8,423	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	21,098	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	118,173	90	20%	+17.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

Italian 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Mexican 2 · American 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
48's	Casual dining · Bar		19023 Blue Spruce Dr	open
Barrio Tacos Strongsville Barrio Lexington, SC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13169 Prospect Rd	open
cakes by Bianca	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Dapper Dan's	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	10929 Prospect Rd	open
Emilio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20934 Drake Rd	open
Fired Up Taco Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10917 Prospect Rd	open
Fox Fire Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21931 Lunn Rd	open
Fusion Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	20918 Drake Rd	open
Jolly's Pizza Strongsville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	22895 Sprague Rd	open
King Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	20906 Drake Rd	open
Mama Julianne's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10913 Prospect Rd	open
Molly McGhee's Sports Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	13169 Prospect Rd	open
Mulligan's Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	20880 Royalton Rd	open
Pasquale's • The Italian Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	20995 Royalton Rd	open
Schnitz Ale Productions	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	20102 Progress Dr	open
Schwebel Baking Co Schwebel's Bakery Outlet Stores	Bakery	Bakery	22626 Royalton Rd	open
Slim & Chubby's Strongsville	Casual dining · Bar		12492 Prospect Rd	open
Strongsville Deli Stop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	20942 Drake Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	11025 Prospect Rd	open
Thai Dynamite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	10917 Prospect Rd	open
The Raw Trainer	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13281 Prospect Rd	open
Tubes Roof Top	Bar		12574 Prospect Rd	open
Whitney Beverage and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	9080 Pearl Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	11	4	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	16	8	3	4	1	6	NAICS2002
2006	14	8	2	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	16	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	14	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	3	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	12	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	12	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44149. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44136	2.2 mi	117	2023
44017	4.1 mi	40	2023
44028	4.4 mi	3	2022
44212	4.8 mi	76	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.