BMIE Market 44202

Portage County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,084 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,309 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,561 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,056 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,432 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,787 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$375,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,852 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44202
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+168.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 33–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44202. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.3	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.0	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	71.8	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,084	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	118,750	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	9,309	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.5	69	35%	+24.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.6	41	25%	+10.2
Population (ACS)	23,084	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	118,750	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30.3	83	50%	+41.7
10-year restaurant growth	26.5	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	22.9	47	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

American 17 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · Asian 6 · Italian 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Japanese 4 · Mexican 4 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Indian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 12 · Bar 10 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1815 Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		170 S Chillicothe Rd	open
Bakery Confectionery & Tobacco	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	70 Aurora Industrial Pkwy	open
Barrington Golf Club Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		680 N Aurora Rd	open
Bob Evans	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	7105 N Aurora Rd	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	7105 N Aurora Rd	open
Boobies Bar	Bar · Brewery / taproom	Burgers	Robinhood Drive	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	18865 Giles Road	open
Cafe Tandoor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	96 Barrington Town Square Dr	open
Cafe Toscano	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	215 W Garfield Rd	open
Captains Quarters	Restaurant (service type not stated)		90 Barrington Town Square Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7020 Aurora Rd	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Dessert	7205 Aurora Rd	open
CookinGenie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · French		open
DJ Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	549 S Chillicothe Rd Ste 275	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	38 S. Aurora Rd	open
Doogan's Of Aurora	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Barrington Town Square Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	75 W Garfield Rd	open
El Camino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	395 N Aurora Rd	open
El Granero Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	549 S Chillicothe Rd	open
Erawan Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	38 S Aurora Rd	open
Evexia	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Vegetarian · Bakery	46 S Aurora Rd	open
Fantasy Delight	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	21 N Aurora Rd	open
Gionino's Pizzeria Gionino's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	29 S Aurora Rd	open
Gregory's Grill	Bar		30 Shawnee Trl	open
Guys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	242 E Garfield Rd	open
Hickory River Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		238 E Garfield Rd	open
Hunan Aurora	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	340 Aurora Commons Cir	open
Hunan Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	112 Barrington Town Square Dr	open
Inner Circle Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		271 E Garfield Rd	open
ItsEzpz	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		172 Canterbury Dr	open
Jade Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1077 N Aurora Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7037 Aurora Road	open
LeeAngelo's (Aurora) LeeAngelo's - Akron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	324 Aurora Commons Cir	open
LuCha 露茶	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	332 Aurora Commons Cir	open
Mad Jacks Grill & Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	204 S Chillicothe Rd	open
Magic Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1027 N Aurora Rd	open
Malley's Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	549 S Chillicothe Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	199 W Garfield	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7195 Aurora Rd	open
Nicky & Smitty's Deli & Restaurant	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	1021 N Aurora Rd	open
Nik's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1023B N Aurora Rd	open
Ol'chefskis BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	15 Trails End	open
Orchid House Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		155 Treat Rd	open
Papous Tap & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Greek	360 Aurora Commons Cir	open
Paradise Indian Cuisine Paradise Biryani Pointe, Parma	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	18815 N Market Pl Dr	open
Paws	Bar	Japanese · Sushi	600 N Aurora Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	70 Barrington Town Square Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18855 Market	open
Rockfish Aurora	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	271 E Garfield Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7135 N Aurora Rd	open
Samurai Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	7155 Aurora Rd	open
San Diego Taco Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7217 N Aurora Rd	open
Sand Pebbles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian · Sushi · Japanese	238 E Garfield Rd	open
Silver Creek Grille	Bar · Casual dining	American	329 E Garfield Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	157 W Garfield Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7135 Aurora Rd	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7020 Aurora Road	open
Steve & Johns Enterprises, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		360 Aurora Commons Cir	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	92 Barrington Square Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7725 Market Place Dr	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7125 Aurora Road	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		38 S Aurora Rd	open
Teresa's Pizza Teresa's Pizza Mantua	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1061 N Aurora Rd	open
The Cabin at Mario's International	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	35 E Garfield Rd	open
The Café	Café	Coffee · American		open
The Leopard Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	600 N Aurora Rd	open
Tri-arch 32 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7195 Aurora Rd	open
Uncle Spike's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	242 E Garfield Rd	open
VFW Aurora Post 2629	Bar		1033 N Aurora Rd	open
Vito's Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	395 N Aurora Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	215 Barrington Towne Square	open
Wrap City Sandwich Co. Wrap City Sandwich Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	125 Barrington Town Square Dr	open
Zeppe's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	38 S Aurora Rd	open
Ryankart	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33 N Chillicothe Rd	closed
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7235 Market Place Dr	closed
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7355 Market Place Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	22	22	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	23	19	8	8	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	26	20	8	10	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	28	20	10	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	31	22	8	8	6	2	NAICS1997
2002	32	25	9	12	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	39	35	13	16	6	—	NAICS2002
2004	38	34	11	18	5	—	NAICS2002
2005	39	36	16	17	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	36	34	14	17	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	35	35	15	17	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	39	38	17	19	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	33	32	13	17	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	36	36	14	20	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	34	34	15	17	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	35	33	15	16	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	35	34	14	15	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	34	33	14	15	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	36	34	14	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	43	39	14	21	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	40	38	14	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	33	15	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	35	33	15	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	34	16	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	36	16	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	40	36	13	19	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	46	43	17	20	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44202. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.