BMIE Market 44231

Portage County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±602 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,308 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,415 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,802 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$904 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$192,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,760 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44231
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44231. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.9	65	40%	+25.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.8	45	35%	+15.7
Market Momentum Score	29.2	29	25%	+7.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,215	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	78,609	60	40%	+24.1
Households (ACS)	3,241	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.2	64	25%	+15.9
Population (ACS)	8,215	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	78,609	60	20%	+12.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 4 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Casual dining 11 · Bar 8 · Quick service 6 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Althea's All Natural Sandwiches & Snacks	Food truck	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	12001 Nelson Ledge Rd	open
Cal's Restaurant and Pizza Express &pizza	Quick service · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · American	8301 Windham St	open
Cellar Door Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8138 Water St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service	Burgers · American	8013 State St	open
Disco pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12001 Nelson Ledge Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	8007 State St	open
FamilyFixins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast		open
Fresh Start	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	8126 Main St	open
Garrett's Mill & Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		8148 Main St	open
Gilligans	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	12001 Nelson Ledge Rd	open
Heady Beans	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	12571-12639 Nelson Ledge Rd	open
Home Sweet Home	Dessert		9916 S Dunston St	open
Jam Pizza Ii Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8007 State St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8027 State St	open
Miller's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8045 State St	open
Pappy's Hickory Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	12001 State Route 282	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7999 State St	open
Podboys Uptown	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8126 Main St	open
Seans Pub and Eatery	Bar · Casual dining		11250 Center Rd	open
Seans Pub and Eatery	Bar · Casual dining		8105 Main St	open
Silver Crik Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		8124 Main St	open
Sky Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		8311 Windham St	open
Slim and Jumbo's	Bar · Casual dining		8101 Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8094 Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	8046 State Street	open
The Brick	Casual dining · Bar		8373 Windham St	open
The Italian Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	8116 Main St	open
The Lucky Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8136 Main St	open
Two Travelers Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8097 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	10	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	8	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	10	3	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	4	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	14	11	2	9	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	4	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	8	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	7	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44231. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44288	4.4 mi	1	2016
44234	4.5 mi	2	2016
44080	4.6 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.