BMIE Market 44255

Portage County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±804 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,987 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,267 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$979 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$213,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,544 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	42.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44255
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44255. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.5	64	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46	46	35%	+16.1
Market Momentum Score	16.5	17	25%	+4.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,318	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	78,099	59	40%	+23.8
Households (ACS)	2,889	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.3	63	25%	+15.8
Population (ACS)	7,318	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	78,099	59	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	20%	+2.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Casual dining 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Au Bon Pain	Bakery	Bakery	9250 Limeridge Rd	open
Auntie Bear's Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	3392 State Route 82	open
Cavanaugh's Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12002 Frost Rd	open
Craved- Sweets, Eats & Drinks	Dessert	Hot dogs · Dessert	10511 Main St	open
Crazy Cowgirl Cafe	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	4715 State Route 82	open
Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11697 State Route 44	open
Dirty Miner Distillery, LLC.	Winery / distillery / taproom		3425 Frost Rd	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	9270 Limeridge Rd	open
Green's	Quick service · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	9770 Limeridge Road	open
Hammers village pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10714 Main St	open
Hillbilly Heaven	Bar	BBQ · American		open
Jake's Eats	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4680 E Prospect St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Sandwiches	9250 Limeridge Rd	open
Los Venados Mexican Restaurant Los Venados Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11697 Painesville Ravenna Rd	open
Mantua Corners Bar & Grille Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11697 State Route 44	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10637 Main St	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9250 Lime Ridge Rd	open
Ocean View Pub Islamorada Florida	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		USPS, 10748 Main St	open
Old Country Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3096 OH-82	open
Pizza Attic	Dessert	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3392 State Route 82	open
R44 Butcher and Baker Shoppe	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	10682 Main St	open
Restoration 44 Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	10675 Main St	open
Salvage Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9817 State Route 44	open
Saxony Sky Vineyards & Apiary	Winery / distillery / taproom		11466 Diagonal Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	Rd 1 Ohio Milepost 197.0	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	0 Ohio Turnpike Milepost 197 Portage Travel Plaza Ma	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10792 Main St	open
Teresa's Pizza Teresa's Pizza Mantua	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11651 OH-44	open
The Chilling Station	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10585 Main St	open
The Italian Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10511 Main St	open
Top Tier Pastry	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4668 E Prospect St	open
Village Tavern	Bar		10678 Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	9270 Limeridge Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	10	3	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	13	9	2	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	17	10	3	7	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	18	11	4	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	23	12	4	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	26	15	4	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	26	16	5	11	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	20	13	4	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	—	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	4	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44255. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44234	4.8 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.