BMIE Market 44273

Medina County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,952 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,595 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,718 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,681 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$275,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44273
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44273. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.6	71	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.0	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	15.6	16	25%	+3.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,952	65	40%	+26.2
Median household income (ACS)	96,431	79	40%	+31.4
Households (ACS)	2,595	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	61	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	6,952	65	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	96,431	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	20%	+2.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 8 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
33 Sports Bar	Bar		130 W Greenwich Rd	open
American Heritage Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	31 W Main St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6080 Speedway Dr	open
Cafe On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	29 W Main St	open
Chilly Boy's Pizza Pasta & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	4934 Park Ave W	open
Coffee Shop pipe dream	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	5212 Greenwich Rd	open
Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8924 Lake Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	DQ Grill & Chill Restaurant 4930 Park Ave W	open
Digsby's Too	Bar	Italian · Pizza	4934 Park Ave W	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		4930 Park Ave W	open
East Of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4716 Greenwich Rd	open
El Patron Mexican Restaurant El Patrón	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	101 Greenwich Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4932 Park Ave W	open
Hardee’s	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8750 Wooster Pike Rd	open
Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	5000 Park Ave W	open
Hudson Area Chamber of Commerce	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27 E Main St	open
Island Delights Candies Island Delights Candies	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	240 W Greenwich Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6074 Speedway Dr	open
Moonstone Coffee Works	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Coffee		open
Number One Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	247 Center St	open
Pizzazio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4934 Park Ave W	open
Romeo's Pizza Romeo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	201 Center St	open
Rose Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7249 Wooster Pike Rd	open
Seville Sweet Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 W Main St	open
Skoops Ice Cream Skoops Ice Cream - Barberton	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	43 W Main St	open
Sparky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1 W Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Chicken / wings · Burgers · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8834 Lake Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8924 Lake Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4938 Park Ave W	open
The Tilted Farmer	Casual dining · Bar		7249 Wooster Pike	open
The Well Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	39A W Main St	open
Tri-arch 24, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6074 Speedway Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	10	3	5	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44273. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44251	2.6 mi	1	1994
44215	3.2 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.