BMIE Market 44280

Medina County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,503 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±423 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,072 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,557 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,761 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$130,167 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,726 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,663 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62,435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44280
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.29) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44280. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.29, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.3	74	40%	+29.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.2	78	35%	+27.4
Market Momentum Score	54.1	54	25%	+13.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,503	62	40%	+24.8
Median household income (ACS)	130,167	93	40%	+37.2
Households (ACS)	2,072	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	166.7	96	35%	+33.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.5	54	25%	+13.6
Population (ACS)	5,503	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	130,167	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	166.7	96	30%	+28.8
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 4 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amy's Arbors	Bar		6735 Center Rd	open
Coffee in the Valley	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6663 Center Rd	open
D. J. Malthopper	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		1496 Columbia Rd	open
Eileen's Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6765 Center Rd	open
Gandalf's Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	6757 Center Rd	open
Hammers Barn & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	965 Marks Rd	open
Jhelbare Winery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1496 Columbia Rd	open
Knott's Family Diner and Ice Cream Parlor	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	6699 Center Rd	open
Riverstone Taverne	Bar		6757 Center Rd	open
Samosky's Homestyle Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6738 Center Rd	open
The Shitter	Bar · Brewery / taproom			open
The Wooden Nickel Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	965 Marks Rd	open
Valley City Chill and Grille	Casual dining · Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	6677 Center Rd	open
Valley City Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6677 Center Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	5	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	4	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	5	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44280. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44028	4.2 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.