BMIE Market 44281

Medina County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±541 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,993 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,954 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,491 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,775 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$278,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	47.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	56 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44281
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	59 (range 56–62) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44281. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.0	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.6	68	35%	+23.7
Market Momentum Score	66.9	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,704	92	40%	+36.6
Median household income (ACS)	89,131	72	40%	+29.0
Households (ACS)	13,993	92	20%	+18.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.7	65	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.1	49	25%	+12.2
Population (ACS)	34,704	92	20%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	89,131	72	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.8	67	50%	+33.7
10-year restaurant growth	21.7	65	30%	+19.4
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (113)

By cuisine

American 22 · Pizza 14 · Bakery 12 · Coffee 11 · Dessert 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Italian 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · BBQ 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · European 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Bar 25 · Casual dining 18 · Quick service 16 · Bakery 13 · Dessert 13 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Fast casual 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
9er's Breakfast Brew & BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	American · Breakfast	130 S Lyman St	open
Alexandris Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	146 Main St	open
Ann's Pastry Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	121 High St	open
Antonio's Pizzeria LoSchiavo Antonio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1050 Williams Reserve Blvd	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1020 High Street	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	964 High St High Street & Hwy 76	open
Auntie’s Homestead	Bakery	Bakery	550 Johnson Rd	open
Bear Cave	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	474 College St	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1090 Williams Reserve Blvd	open
Bidinger's Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	410 College St	open
Bingsu	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	1118 High St	open
Blistering Pig Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	280 E Walnut St	open
Blue Tip Pub and Grill	Bar		130 S Lyman St	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	151 Park Center Dr I-76 & I-94	open
Boba Tree	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	220 High St	open
Book's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	962 Broad St	open
Bosco's Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	295 Weatherstone Dr Ste B	open
Bradleys Of Wadsworth Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		469 College St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	994 High St	open
Cambria's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	132 Main St	open
Casa Del Rio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	839 High St	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	999 High St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	990 High St	open
Circle L Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Steakhouse · American	201 Park Center Dr	open
Cleats Club Seat Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Chicken / wings	469 College St	open
Cool Beans Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	101 High St	open
Copper Road Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Crafted Cocktail Company	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		995 High St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Dairy Queen Ltd Brazier 835 High St	open
Dancing Desserts	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1321 Sharon Copley Rd	open
Daniel F. Gigiano Co. L.p.a.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 Main St Ste 200	open
Dolce at the Strand	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	123 Broad St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	117 Main Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	809 High St	open
El Rincon Mexican Grill El Rincón	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other)	1154 Hinkle Dr	open
Europe Gyro Express, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		157 Broad St	open
Fiesta Acapulco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1090 Williams Reserve Blvd Ste P	open
Filia Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3059 Greenwich Rd	open
Fins Bar & Chill	Casual dining · Bar	American	377 Wintergreen Dr	open
Gionino's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	138 Akron Rd	open
Great Oaks Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		210 Great Oaks Trail	open
Headhunter Barbell	Bar		239 1st St	open
Hong Kong Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	247 Great Oaks Trail	open
Jem Insurance Service Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Weatherstone Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1154 Hinkle Drive Suite E	open
Just Eat The Cookie LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	138 Main St	open
Kasai Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	295 Weatherstone Dr E	open
KC's Sports Pub	Bar		346 Main St	open
KFC	Quick service		988 High St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	802 High St	open
King's Street Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	120 High St	open
Little Caesars Wadsworth Little Caesars Fundraising	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	995 High St	open
Marie's Restaurant \| Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	130 E Smokerise Dr	open
Marigold Home Kitchen	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	1348 Sharon Copley Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	920 High St	open
Menchies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1090 Williams Reserve Blvd Ste 330	open
New Style	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	136 Akron Rd	open
No.1 Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	156 Main St	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	135 Great Oaks Trail	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	132 akron road	open
Peyakov Endeavors 1 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		199 Great Oaks Trl	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	142 Great Oaks Trail	open
Pizzazio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	157 Broad St	open
Ponderosa Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	135 Great Oaks Trl	open
Portage Development Company Ii Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1218 High St	open
Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar - Zanesville	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	1090 Williams Reserve Blvd	open
Quasimoto Interactive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1475 Wolf Creek Trl	open
Retro Inc Bar n Grille	Casual dining · Bar		377 Main St	open
Ridge & Rail	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6784 Ridge Rd	open
Rise and Grind	Bakery	Bakery	120 High St	open
River Styx Cider Mill	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		8058 River Styx Rd	open
Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Juice / smoothies	988 B High St	open
Romeo's Pizza Romeo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	176 Great Oaks Trail	open
Sarah Beth Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	147 College St	open
Sexy Pig BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	441 Leatherman Rd	open
SONNETS	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	117 College St	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1160 Akron Road	open
Spunkmeyers Pub & Grill	Bar		993 High St	open
Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee · American	175 Great Oaks Trl	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Pizza · Coffee	1183 Williams Reserve Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	825 Ambassador Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	988 High St	open
Sub Zero Nitrogen Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	300 Weatherstone Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	141 Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	222 E Smokerise Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	989 High Street	open
Susan’s Coffee & Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8691 Wadsworth Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	973 High Street	open
Tavanello's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2985 Greenwich Rd	open
Tea Time	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	300 Weatherstone Dr Ste 101	open
The South End Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		377 Main St	open
The Sub Station	Other · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	116 High St	open
The Sugar Social	Dessert		110 High St	open
The Sugar Social	Dessert		197 Great Oaks Trail	open
The Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		210 Great Oaks Trl	open
Toastheads Micro Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	110 High St	open
Treats and Trinkets	Bakery	Bakery	156 Fairview Ave	open
Trumbakery	Bakery	Bakery	437 Bicksler Dr	open
Valley Cafe Restaurant	Casual dining	American	101 High St	open
Vue Wadsworth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	102 High St	open
W&e Aspire, Llcw	Restaurant (service type not stated)		117 Main St	open
Wadsworth Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		126 Main St	open
Wadsworth Retirement Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1392 High St	open
Wadsworth Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		292 Main St	open
Wadsworth VFW Auxiliary Post 1089	Bar		121 Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	222 E Smokerise Dr	open
Water Main Grille	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	339 Main St	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	1090 Williams Reserve Blvd Ste H	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	125 Great Oaks Trl	open
White Box Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1154 Hinkle Dr	open
White Timbers Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		10036 Rittman Rd	open
Whitehouse Chicken Whitehouse Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	199 Great Oaks Trail	open
Zeppe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	295 Weatherstone Dr Unit B	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	28	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	28	24	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	35	28	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	38	32	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	41	28	14	12	2	7	NAICS1997
1999	40	30	16	12	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	45	34	20	12	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	38	28	16	10	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	43	34	15	14	5	4	NAICS1997
2003	43	36	14	18	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	46	39	14	20	5	2	NAICS2002
2005	46	39	15	20	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	47	41	15	22	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	47	37	14	20	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	44	35	12	19	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	42	35	14	16	5	4	NAICS2007
2010	47	39	13	20	6	4	NAICS2007
2011	44	39	15	19	5	2	NAICS2007
2012	50	43	12	22	9	5	NAICS2012
2013	52	46	14	21	11	4	NAICS2012
2014	52	46	12	22	12	2	NAICS2012
2015	52	48	15	21	12	1	NAICS2012
2016	52	47	13	24	10	2	NAICS2012
2017	58	53	17	25	11	3	NAICS2017
2018	59	51	18	25	8	4	NAICS2017
2019	58	51	18	26	7	3	NAICS2017
2020	56	50	17	23	10	3	NAICS2017
2021	61	53	19	25	9	4	NAICS2017
2022	62	54	21	24	9	3	NAICS2022
2023	64	56	22	27	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44281. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44274	2.8 mi	1	2012

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.