BMIE Market 44286

Summit County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,295 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,109 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,407 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,837 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$435,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58,036 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44286
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44286. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.7	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.2	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	16.4	16	25%	+4.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,295	64	40%	+25.6
Median household income (ACS)	112,778	88	40%	+35.1
Households (ACS)	2,572	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.9	50	25%	+12.4
Population (ACS)	6,295	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	112,778	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	50%	+9.7
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 6 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 8 · Café 7 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Burger King	Quick service		4902 Brecksville Rd	open
Cafe 21	Café	Coffee	4816 Brecksville Rd	open
Cavalier Distributing Cavalier Distributing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3940 Congress Pkwy	open
Country Maid Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3252 W Streetsboro Rd	open
Cozumel Mexican Restaurant Cozumel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4880 Brecksville Rd	open
Cummings Express Training School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4615 W Streetsboro Rd	open
Doug Out Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4635 W Streetsboro Rd	open
Harvest Moon Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4183 W Streetsboro Rd	open
Kathy's Cakery	Bakery	Bakery	4700 Deer Creek Cir	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3921 Wheatley Rd	open
Memories	Bar		4880 Brecksville Road	open
Michael Angelo's Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5515 Broadview Rd	open
Musketeers Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3027 Brecksville Rd	open
Nat Int Cafe11200714	Quick service · Café	Coffee	3250 National Interstate Dr	open
Ocelot Cafe & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4174 Wheatley Rd	open
Panda Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4174 Wheatley Rd	open
Pochynok Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3960 Broadview Rd	open
Richfield Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		3871 Broadview Rd	open
Richfield Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4793 Brecksville Rd	open
Richfield Pierogi Shop	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	4741 Berkley Rd	open
Richfield's Gourmet Cafe	Café	Coffee	4174 Wheatley Rd	open
Richfield, Pierogies of Cleveland	Café	German / Eastern European · Coffee	4131 W Streetsboro Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4815 Brecksville Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4174 Wheatley Rd Ste 700	open
Taverne Of Richfield	Bar	American	3960 Broadview Rd	open
Teresa's Pizza-Richfield Teresa's Pizza Mantua	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4174 Wheatley Rd	open
Teschner's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		4252 Broadview Rd	open
The Orginal Steaks and Hoagies	Food truck	Steakhouse · American	4219 Maple Dr	open
Village Cafe	Café	Coffee	4131 W Streetsboro Rd Ste C	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5219 Brecksville Rd	open
Whitey's Booze N' Burgers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	3600 Brecksville Rd	open
Z's Donutz And Eatery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	3031 Brecksville Rd Ste A	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	7	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	13	8	4	3	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	15	9	4	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	13	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	16	12	7	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	15	7	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	19	13	6	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	19	13	5	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	21	14	5	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	20	13	4	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	20	13	5	4	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	18	11	5	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	20	12	5	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	20	15	4	9	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	13	4	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	18	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	17	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44286. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44333	4.7 mi	78	2023
44141	4.8 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.