BMIE Market 44406
Mahoning County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,451 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,054 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,368 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $98,693 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 48.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $844 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $286,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,486 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 54.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44406 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +164.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 47 (range 41–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44406. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.1 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.6 | 63 | 35% | +21.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 44.0 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,451 | 83 | 40% | +33.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 98,693 | 80 | 40% | +32.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,043 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 35% | +20.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.0 | 37 | 25% | +9.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,451 | 83 | 20% | +16.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 98,693 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.3 | 23 | 50% | +11.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 30% | +17.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (79)
By cuisine
American 15 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 10 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Mexican 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · European 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 13 · Café 8 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-60 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3636 Canfield Rd | open | |
| Angela's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 419 E Main St | open |
| AngeNettas Cafe Restaurant | Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 64 Cardinal Dr | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 13 Talsman Dr | open |
| Bajco Global Management Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3695 Boardman Canfield Rd Bldg B | open | |
| Bear Keeper Management, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3830 Starrs Centre Dr Ste 1 | open | |
| Bella Napoli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 419 E Main St | open |
| Belleria Pizza & Italian Restaurant Belleria Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 584 E Main St | open |
| Beso Del Sol Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 583 E Main St | open | |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 4545 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| Broad Street Carryout and Catering | Casual dining · Catering | American | 464 S Broad St | open |
| Bruno Bros Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3620 Starrs Centre Dr | open |
| C & Z Restaurant Holdings, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 114 S Broad St | open | |
| Cal’s Roadside Stand | Bakery | Bakery | 257 Moreland Dr | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 6442 S Raccoon Rd Ste B | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4542 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| Cocca's Pizza Cocca's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 76 N Broad St | open |
| Colonial Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 429 Lisbon St | open | |
| Cozé Coffee Bar | Café · Coffee shop | American · Coffee | 9249 Youngstown Salem Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 587 E Main St | open |
| Dave's Cosmic Subs Dave's Cosmic Subs - Mt Vernon | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4559 Boardman-Canfield Rd | open |
| Davidson's Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3636 Canfield Rd | open |
| Diletto Winery | Bar | 9182 Youngstown Salem Rd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 7100 Lockwood Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 4299 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| Forty10 Bar & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4010 Boardman Canfield Rd Ste 5 | open |
| Ghossain's Gourmet Mediterranean Foods Ghossain's Gourmet Mediterranean Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mediterranean · American | 4559 Boardman-Canfield Rd #820 | open |
| Gionino's Pizzeria Gionino's Pizzeria Huffman | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 375 E Main St | open |
| Grain and Berry Grain and Berry | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4259 Boardman-Canfield Rd | open |
| Guliets Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3649 Canfield Rd | open | |
| Handel’s Ice Cream - Canfield | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3830 Starrs Centre Dr Ste 1 | open |
| Howlett Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3869 Starrs Centre Dr | open | |
| Ianazones Homemade Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 400 W Main St | open | |
| Inner Circle Pizza Canfield | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 6579 Ironwood Blvd | open |
| Integral 99 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | Rush Church, 425 W Main St | open |
| JR Grinder | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 400 W Main St #1478 | open |
| Kapolis Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6620 Tippecanoe Rd | open | |
| Kennsington Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4171 Westford Pl | open | |
| Kim's Confections | Bakery | Bakery | 7 Lisbon St | open |
| Main Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 423 E Main St | open |
| Marlowe's Premium Coffee Service | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3635 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 586 E Main St | open |
| Naffah Development Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6580 Ironwood Blvd | open | |
| Nicolinni's Chophouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 6580 Ironwood Blvd | open |
| Oven Fresh Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 14 N Broad St 14 | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 4205 Boardman Canfield Road | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4500 boardman canfield rd | open |
| Peaberry's Cafe and Bakery | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4350 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| Perkins Restaurant & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 587 E Main St | open | |
| Piccadilly Parlour Victorian | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · British / Irish pub food | 114 S Broad St | open |
| Pinewood Tack | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 9290 Columbiana Canfield Rd | open | |
| Pizza Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 76 N Broad St | open |
| Plaza Azteca Canfield Plaza Azteca, Methuen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 4525 Boardman-Canfield Rd | open |
| Pour House Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 3620 Starr Centre Dr | open | |
| R46 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5231 S Canfield-Niles Rd | open | |
| Risi Pizzeria & Italian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 4350 Boardman-Canfield Rd | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4525 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| Silva's Lebanese Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3620 Starrs Centre Dr | open |
| Skippy’s Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 12 N Broad St | open | |
| Snowfall Sourdough | Bakery | Bakery | 10176 Lisbon Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4546 Boardman-Canfield Rd | open |
| Stone Fruit Coffee Company StoneFruit Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 352 W Main St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 584 E Main St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4254 Boardman-Canfield Road | open |
| Tequila Jalisco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 583 E Main St | open |
| Tequilla Jalisco Mexican Resturant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3660 Starr's Centre Dr | open |
| Thano's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · European | 6620 Tippecanoe Rd | open |
| The Bistro at MCCTC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7300 N Palmyra Rd | open |
| The Mac Haus & Antone's Kitchen Poland Antone's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Italian · American | 3620 Starr Centre Dr Ste 1 | open |
| The Mac House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3620 Starrs Centre Dr | open | |
| The Vault Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 401 E Main St | open |
| Trek Outpost | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 9249 Youngstown - Salem Rd | open |
| Village Pump | Bar | American | 5231 S Canfield-Niles Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4161 Boardman Canfield Rd | open |
| Whitefire Grille And Spirits | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6580 Ironwood Blvd | open | |
| Zenobia Cuisine and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 584 E Main St | open |
| Caffe Dars | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Lisbon St | closed | |
| Lil' Baby Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 7 Lisbon St | closed |
| Power Windows And Doors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4010 Boardman Canfield Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 18 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 39 | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 35 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 37 | 31 | 16 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 40 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 39 | 22 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 48 | 40 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 47 | 39 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 41 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 36 | 18 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 56 | 47 | 19 | 21 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 40 | 17 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 52 | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 53 | 41 | 15 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 61 | 47 | 20 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 60 | 45 | 17 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.