BMIE Market 44410

Trumbull County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,992 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±835 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,089 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,409 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,772 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$793 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$197,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,450 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44410
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+70.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+70.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 24–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44410. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.0	66	40%	+26.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.8	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	71.2	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,992	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	70,385	48	40%	+19.0
Households (ACS)	7,089	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.8	72	35%	+25.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.1	42	25%	+10.6
Population (ACS)	15,992	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	70,385	48	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.5	69	50%	+34.7
10-year restaurant growth	31.8	72	30%	+21.6
20-year restaurant growth	70.6	75	20%	+14.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (56)

By cuisine

American 13 · Pizza 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Italian 7 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 10 · Quick service 10 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie V's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2193 Wilson Sharpsville Rd	open
Bacconi's Lickety Split	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Dessert	9750 4194 Greenville Rd NE	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3660 Niles Cortland Rd NE	open
Belleria Pizza Cortland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	417 S High St	open
Brother's Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	144 S High St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	600 South High Street	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	418 S High St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2160 Millennium Blvd	open
Cocca's Pizza Cocca's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	111 Market St	open
Cortland Moose Lodge	Bar		6400 State Route 46	open
Cortland Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	225 S High St	open
Country Porch Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2282 Wilson Sharpsville Rd St Rt 305	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3298 Trappers Trl	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	194 S High St	open
Dockside Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6083 State Route 46	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3299 Niles Cortland Rd NE	open
Eclectic Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	204 W Main St	open
El Torero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	105 S High St	open
Field of Dreams Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		3724 Hoagland Blackstub Rd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	2170 Millennium Blvd	open
Four Star Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	168 N Mecca St	open
Fresh To Fire Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian		open
Greene Eagle Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar		2576 Davis Peck Rd	open
Hokeamania BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	Ivy Hill Cir	open
Hole in the Wall	Bar		2286 Greenville Rd NE	open
Irene's ice cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1144 Wilson Sharpsville Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2170 Millennium Blvd. Unit B-2	open
Katie's Korner Katie's Korner Homemade Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	3260 State Rte 5	open
Lake Tavern Management Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6071 State Route 46	open
Little Charlie's Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	251 S High St	open
Long John Silver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2170 Millennium Blvd Ste B	open
Maker’s Market Cafe	Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	201 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2171 Millennium Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3629 Oh-5	open
Mecca Cones & Coneys	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	2312 Greenville Rd NE	open
Mecca Cones and Coneys	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5086 Phillips Rice Rd	open
Miracles Neighborhood Pool & Pub	Bar			open
Monty's By The Lake	Casual dining	American	1241 Greenville Rd NE	open
Pizza Joe's Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	222 W Main St	open
Quaker Steak & Lube Quaker Steak and Lube	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	2191 Millennium Blvd	open
Romeo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	417 S High St	open
Senor Joe’s Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3312 Youngstown Kingsville Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2164 Millennium Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2016 Millennium Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3640 State Route 5	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	Elm Rd.	open
The 1547 Project	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3290 State Rte 5	open
The Hub Hot Dog Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3549 State Route 5	open
The Local Tap & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2242 Greenville Rd NE	open
Timothy Chronister/insurance Agent/self Employed	Restaurant (service type not stated)		197 W Main St Ste B	open
Top Notch Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	682 S High St	open
Vasilio's Restaurant and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	500 Trumbull Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2016 Millennium Blvd	open
What's the Scoop on Main Street	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	211 W Main St	open
Buckeye Concepts Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5292 Warren Rd	closed
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	417 S High St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	23	18	4	10	4	4	NAICS1997
1999	23	18	5	9	4	4	NAICS1997
2000	22	17	5	8	4	4	NAICS1997
2001	20	15	3	8	4	4	NAICS1997
2002	21	17	4	9	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	21	17	4	8	5	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	16	4	6	6	4	NAICS2002
2005	25	20	8	6	6	4	NAICS2002
2006	26	21	6	9	6	4	NAICS2002
2007	26	21	8	8	5	4	NAICS2002
2008	27	20	7	9	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	24	16	4	9	3	5	NAICS2007
2010	24	18	8	7	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	21	15	5	7	3	4	NAICS2007
2012	25	22	8	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	25	22	8	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	28	25	10	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	30	27	12	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	27	24	11	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	29	27	10	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	26	9	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	23	8	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	22	8	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	25	9	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	27	11	12	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	29	10	13	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44410. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.