BMIE Market 44413

Columbiana County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,397 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,261 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,204 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$50,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$834 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$122,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,758 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44413
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-35.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44413. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.3	46	40%	+18.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.8	39	35%	+13.6
Market Momentum Score	23.0	23	25%	+5.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,397	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	50,999	16	40%	+6.4
Households (ACS)	3,031	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.2	64	25%	+15.9
Population (ACS)	7,397	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	50,999	16	20%	+3.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cozza's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	57 S Walnut St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	262 S Market St	open
J And D Hometown Grill	Bakery	Bakery	78 N Market St # 12	open
Jim's Rolling Roadhouse	Food truck · Delivery-focused		333 W Main St	open
Lanazone's Pizza By Coulter's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	102 N Market St	open
marshalls bar and grill	Bar		740 E Taggart St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	60 S Market St	open
Moose Lodge	Bar		43 W Rebecca St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	239 N Market St Columbiana	open
Pizza Joe's Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	96 E Taggart St	open
Sprinklz On Top	Restaurant (service type not stated)		78 N Market St	open
State Line Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		51962 E Taggart St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	179 E Taggart St	open
The Arctic Circle	Dessert · Food truck		15 S Market St	open
The Coffee Stop	Coffee shop	Coffee	102 N Market St	open
The Dairy Mill	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	225 W Main St	open
The Original Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		333 W Main St	open
The Telischak Co Limited	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 S Sumner St	open
UncleSams BarGrill	Bar		320 E Taggart St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	18	13	5	5	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	21	14	7	4	3	6	NAICS1997
2000	17	13	7	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	10	4	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	4	3	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	8	3	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	11	7	2	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	2	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	4	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	11	2	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	11	2	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44413. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44445	3.6 mi	1	2016
16120	4.6 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.