BMIE Market 44612

Tuscarawas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,261 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±221 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,293 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,210 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,208 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$791 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$240,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44612
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44612. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.3	64	40%	+25.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.4	64	35%	+22.5
Market Momentum Score	52.9	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,261	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	85,208	68	40%	+27.3
Households (ACS)	2,215	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	71.4	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.8	31	25%	+7.7
Population (ACS)	5,261	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	85,208	68	20%	+13.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	71.4	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bolivar Army Navy	Casual dining · Bar			open
Bolivar Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	225 Canal St NE	open
Boone Creek Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	470 N Orchard Rd Ne Unit A	open
Canal Street Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	157 Canal St	open
Crazy Habanero Tacos and Margaritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	361 Edgebrook Rd NE	open
Crumb Cottage LLC	Bakery	Bakery	533 Poplar St NW	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	450 Canal St	open
East of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10780 N Laurens Sq NE	open
El Albatross	Casual dining · Bar		156 W Canal St SE	open
Georgio's Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10748 Wilkshire Blvd NE	open
Inn On The River	Bar		8806 Towpath Rd NE	open
Lockport Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		10748 Wilkshire Blvd NE	open
Massa Mia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1041 Arrowhead Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	11123 State Route 212 NE	open
Number 1 Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11237 Fairoaks Rd NE	open
Papa Mia’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 N Orchard Rd NE	open
Sabor Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	470 N Orchard Rd NE	open
Simply Cinnamon	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	11237 Fairoaks Rd NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	450B Canal Street SE	open
Towpath Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	225 Canal St	open
Vagabond Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	110 Water St SE	open
Vaughan's Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	10983 State Route 212 NE	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	11031 Fairoaks Boulevard Ne	open
Wilkshire Banquet Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		474 Jeanne Anne Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	5	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	3	9	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44612. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44697	4.0 mi	2	2016
44680	4.3 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.