BMIE Market 44662

Stark County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,345 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,906 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±248 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,656 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,986 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$879 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$187,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,912 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44662
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44662. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.4	63	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.1	50	35%	+17.5
Market Momentum Score	43.8	44	25%	+10.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,345	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	73,098	52	40%	+20.8
Households (ACS)	3,906	71	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.8	89	25%	+22.2
Population (ACS)	10,345	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	73,098	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · Coffee 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 7 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
'77 Brew House	Brewery / taproom · Bar		21 Canal St W	open
A Savage	Bar		83 Canal St E	open
Anderson's In The Village	Café	Coffee	97 Canal St W	open
Breakaway Sports Pub & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		9 Main St N # 1159	open
Cajun Jay's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		525 Main St N	open
Canal Street Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		19 Canal St E	open
East Of Chicago	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	561 Main St N	open
Elefant Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	523 Market St NE	open
Faith & Flour Co.	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	236 Canal St W	open
Firehouse Grille & Pub	Bar		9 Main St N	open
Georgio's Oven Fresh Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Main St N	open
Kelly's scrub a dub pets and more	Bar		3 Canal St E	open
Kraus' Pizza of Navarre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	232 Center St NW	open
Lighthouse Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	6543 Navarre Rd SW	open
MID'S True Sicilian Pasta Sauce	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	620 Main St N	open
Nickles Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	26 Main St S	open
Pizza Oven The Pizza Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4571 Erie Ave SW	open
Rise Up Cafe by Main Street Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	97 Canal St W	open
Tripp's Kremeland	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	514 Main St N	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	8	5	1	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	10	3	4	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	11	8	2	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	10	7	2	3	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	—	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44662. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44613	2.8 mi	4	2023
44608	4.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.