BMIE Market 44681

Tuscarawas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,219 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,878 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,799 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,580 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,769 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$891 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±91 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$316,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	56.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44681
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+70.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44681. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.7	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.9	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	82.2	82	25%	+20.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,219	70	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	85,769	69	40%	+27.6
Households (ACS)	2,878	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	70	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.4	41	25%	+10.4
Population (ACS)	9,219	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	85,769	69	20%	+13.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	41.7	88	50%	+43.9
10-year restaurant growth	70	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	41.7	59	20%	+11.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · American 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bakery 8 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amish Country Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	2301 County Road 140	open
Amish Country Donuts & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	522 Dover Rd NE	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Food truck · Quick service · Bakery	Bakery	1900 OH-39	open
Bags Sports Pub Sugarcreek	Bar · Casual dining		136 E Main St	open
Beachy's Country Chalet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 Andreas Dr NE	open
Brick Town Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		980 W Main St	open
Collective Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	113 S Broadway St	open
Don Nacho Mexican Grill & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	980 W Main St	open
Dough Co. Doughnuts and Coffee Dough Co. Doughnuts & Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	681 Dover Rd NE	open
Dover Road Dari	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	215 Dover Rd NW	open
Dutch Valley Restaurant	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	1343 Old Rte 39 NE	open
East of Chicago East Of Chicago Pizza Barberton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	149 Dover Rd NW	open
Esther's Home Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	115 E Main St	open
Guggisberg Cheese	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1545 Co Rd 70	open
Habaneros Taco's and Margaritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2870 Winklepleck Rd NW	open
Honey Bee Cafe	Café	Coffee	993 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	725 Dover Rd	open
Mill Street Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	993 W Main St	open
Old Store Winery	Bar		2260 Ragersville Rd SW	open
Park Street Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	215 Dover Rd NW	open
Pizza Parlor V	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	685 Dover Rd NE	open
S Bar L Rodeo Sugarcreek	Bar		686 Smokey Lane Rd NW	open
Studio 200 Studio 200 Salon Ocala	Coffee shop	Coffee	200 E Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	705 Dover Rd	open
Sugarfuse	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee		open
Tavern of Ragersville	Bar · Casual dining		2274 Ragersville Rd SW	open
The Loose Caboose Depot Sugarcreek OH	Dessert	Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	122 Factory St SE	open
The Nut Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1900 State Route 39	open
Village Baking LLC	Bakery	Bakery	212 Shepfer Dr	open
Wallhouse Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	751 Dover Rd NE	open
Wallhouse Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	751 Dover Rd NE	open
Winetagous	Winery / distillery / taproom		1910 OH-39	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	16	11	3	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	10	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	9	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	7	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	8	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	12	8	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	7	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	7	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	7	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	14	7	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	7	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	9	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	4	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	4	3	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	3	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	3	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	17	6	6	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44681. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44687	3.6 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.