BMIE Market 44683

Tuscarawas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±513 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,550 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,795 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,237 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$123,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44683
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44683. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.9	49	40%	+19.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.1	40	35%	+14.0
Market Momentum Score	24.3	24	25%	+6.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,050	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	54,237	21	40%	+8.2
Households (ACS)	3,292	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.6	41	25%	+10.2
Population (ACS)	8,050	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	54,237	21	20%	+4.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.3	22	50%	+10.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 5 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 9 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
311 Wine Room	Bar		311 N Water St	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	101 W Mccaulley Dr W Mccaulley Dr & Water St	open
Bates Restaurant And Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	120 Johnson Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	801 N Water St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1026 Water St	open
East of Chicago and Pub East Of Chicago Pizza Barberton	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · Italian	122 E 3rd St	open
El Pueblito Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1102 N Water St	open
El REY TACOS & TEQUILA	Bar	Mexican	1700 Commerce Dr	open
Freightrain Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	401 N Main St	open
Ginger's Home Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	225 E 1st St	open
Glenn Thomas Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 N Main St	open
James R Grandison, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1026 N Water St	open
Jerry's Great American Restaurant	Casual dining	American	103 W McCauley Dr	open
Kayla’s Kandy’s	Dessert		7815 State Route 800 SE	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	116 West McCauley Drive SE	open
Lucky Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	255 E McCauley Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	101 Mccauley Dr	open
My Burger Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	229 E 3rd St	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1037 n water st	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1700 Commerce Drive	open
Poppys Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		999 Trenton Ave	open
Rods Donuts and Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		208 N Main St	open
Sarah Nicole's Sweet Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8339 Moravian Trail Rd SE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	261 E McCauley Dr	open
Sutton's Taste of Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	124 E 3rd St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	104 East McCauley Drive	open
The Pitbull Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		6298 OH-800	open
Uhrichsville Elks 424	Bar		324 N Uhrich St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1705 Jared Drive	open
Y Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		4168 US-36	open
Zifaro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	427 N Dawson St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	19	13	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	22	15	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	23	16	6	9	1	7	NAICS1997
1999	23	17	6	10	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	21	16	4	11	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	22	17	4	11	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	22	19	6	12	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	6	11	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	18	6	11	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	22	19	8	10	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	25	22	9	11	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	22	19	6	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	20	17	5	11	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	21	17	5	11	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	20	17	6	10	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	19	16	5	10	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	18	15	4	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	5	9	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	16	5	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	19	16	5	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	22	19	8	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	20	17	8	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	17	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44683. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
44682	4.7 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.