BMIE Market 44813

Richland County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,034 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,451 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±341 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,051 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,201 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,832 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$225,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,933 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	68.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44813
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+114.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 14–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44813. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.1	65	40%	+26.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.0	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	76.5	76	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,994	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	77,846	59	40%	+23.6
Households (ACS)	3,451	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.7	47	25%	+11.7
Population (ACS)	8,994	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,846	59	20%	+11.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.4	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alien Coffee Roasters Llc	Coffee shop	Coffee	96 Main St	open
Brumby's Coffeehouse and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Pizza · Coffee · Italian	96 Main St	open
Buckeye Express Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	810 OH-97	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	851 State Rte 97 W	open
Clear Fork Dairy Belle	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · American	8 Main St	open
Clever Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5529 Clever Rd	open
Der Dutchman Der Dutchman Walnut Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	American	720 State Rte 97 W	open
Der Dutchman Bellville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	720 State Route 97 W	open
Duchess Duke & Duchess Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	860 OH-97	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	750 State Rte 97 W	open
East of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12 Mill Rd	open
Fast Eddie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	59 Main St	open
General Tso's Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	11 Main St	open
K.C.'s Steak and Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	844 State Route 97 W	open
Locust Corners Bulk Food & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6917 Ankneytown Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	850 Sr 97	open
P J Woodwork Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16 E Ogle St	open
Panchos Tacos Bellville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	844 OH-97	open
Raising Roots Coffee-Roastery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	143 Main St	open
Revive Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1201 Mill Rd	open
River Rock	Bar · Casual dining		7 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	976 State Route 97	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	14 Mill Rd	open
Sugar Mama	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	751 OH-97 E	open
Sugar Mama Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	751 Mill Rd	open
Taco John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	972 SR 97 W	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	972 OH-97 E	open
The Dairy Belle & Bella Brew	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Burgers	Main st	open
The Green Bean House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	230 Main St	open
Trucking Depot	Café		1202 Mill Rd	open
V & M Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	104 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	12	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	2	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	2	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	4	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44813. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.