BMIE Market 44830

Seneca County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,671 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±728 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,476 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,962 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,618 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,990 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$809 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$121,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	118.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44830
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-27.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44830. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.3	62	40%	+24.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.6	47	35%	+16.3
Market Momentum Score	42.8	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,671	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,990	35	40%	+14.1
Households (ACS)	7,476	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.7	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.3	67	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	18,671	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	62,990	35	20%	+7.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10.5	68	50%	+34.1
10-year restaurant growth	-8.7	19	30%	+5.7
20-year restaurant growth	-16	15	20%	+3.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

Pizza 11 · American 8 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Mexican 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Legion Post 73 - Fostoria, OH	Casual dining · Bar		300 N Main St	open
American Table Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	603 Plaza Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	301 N Countyline St	open
Aug Dawgs' House Of Booze	Bar · Casual dining			open
Ay Chihuahua	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	162 E Tiffin St	open
Big Bucks Bakery	Bar · Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Casual dining	Sandwiches · Bakery	224 N Main St	open
Bob Evans Restaurants Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	1111 N Countyline St	open
Breidenbach Cattle, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1317 N County Road 5	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1059 N County Line St	open
Calico Charlie's Candy & More	Dessert		206 S Main St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	531 N County Line St	open
D & K Eggspress	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	112 W Tiffin St	open
Daddy and Kay’s Pizza and Cheesecakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	112 W Tiffin St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1204 N County Line St 1204 N County Line St	open
Daniel, Daniel & Frisch, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 W Center St	open
Danner's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1348 Laurel Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	255 W.South Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1030 N County Line St	open
El Dorado Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	150 W Lytle St	open
Flippin' Jimmy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	118 W North St	open
Fostoria Dell's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	224 S Main St	open
Fostoria Eagles #430	Bar · Casual dining		1049 N Countyline St	open
Fostoria Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	119 W Center St	open
Fostoria Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1610 N County Line St	open
Herbie's Roadhouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1090 S Springville Ave	open
Hi Scores Bar Arcade And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	224 N Main St	open
HONG KONG RESTAURANT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	339 W Lytle St Ste 2433	open
Hua Fei, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		339 W Lytle St	open
Ignite Wellness Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	112 W Tiffin St	open
Jac & Do's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	117 N Main St	open
Java's Enchanted Bean, Ltd	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	204 S Main St	open
JB Twisters	Quick service · Dessert	Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts	335 W Lytle St	open
Josh Tolento - Beekeeping & Wasp Removal	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	Fostoria	open
KemoSabes Roadhouse Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	820 Sandusky St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	708 N Union St	open
Little Mexico ( Fostoria, OH )	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	339 W Lytle St	open
Lulu b's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	535 W Jackson St	open
Main Street Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	317 S Main St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	301 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	620 N County Line St	open
Mi Tequilas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1659 N County Line St	open
Nest	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11295 OH-18	open
Ohio Concert Promotions	Bar		11295 W State Route 18	open
One Bowl The Cereal Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 W Center St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	893 N Countyline St	open
R Place	Bar · Casual dining		324 S Main St	open
Red's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	381 Perry St	open
Rookies Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 E Tiffin St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	526 Sandusky St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1636 N Countyline St	open
Sweet Delights by Karlie	Bakery	Bakery	371 Perry St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	519 Plaza Dr	open
The New Los Tocallos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	203 N Main St	open
The Rail	Bar		501-509 S Main St	open
The Smokehouse	Bar		107 N Main St	open
The UrbanWoody Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		105 E Tiffin St	open
Train City Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	1240 Perrysburg Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1104 Countyline St	open
Whippy Dip	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	400 S Main St	open
Whistle Stop Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	210 E Lytle St	open
Dells Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		224 S Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	37	29	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	34	27	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	41	33	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	38	28	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	39	31	13	15	2	8	NAICS1997
1999	37	29	9	17	2	8	NAICS1997
2000	34	24	9	12	3	10	NAICS1997
2001	36	28	9	15	4	8	NAICS1997
2002	34	25	9	12	4	8	NAICS1997
2003	31	25	9	12	4	6	NAICS2002
2004	32	26	10	12	4	6	NAICS2002
2005	32	25	10	11	4	6	NAICS2002
2006	31	24	10	10	4	6	NAICS2002
2007	31	26	10	11	5	5	NAICS2002
2008	33	27	12	11	4	5	NAICS2007
2009	32	27	10	10	6	5	NAICS2007
2010	31	27	12	11	4	4	NAICS2007
2011	32	29	12	14	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	30	27	11	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	26	23	10	11	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	25	22	10	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	25	22	10	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	9	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	25	21	9	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	19	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	17	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	19	8	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	9	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	21	7	11	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 44830. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.