BMIE Market 45005

Warren County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	32,251 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±521 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,963 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,565 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$218,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,976 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45005
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-2.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 30–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45005. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.4	76	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.8	54	35%	+18.8
Market Momentum Score	46.3	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	32,251	90	40%	+36.1
Median household income (ACS)	75,399	56	40%	+22.3
Households (ACS)	12,611	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-2.7	22	35%	+7.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.2	68	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	32,251	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	75,399	56	20%	+11.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.1	74	50%	+37.0
10-year restaurant growth	-2.7	22	30%	+6.6
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (105)

By cuisine

American 27 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 10 · Burgers 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Italian 7 · Bakery 6 · Breakfast 6 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Mexican 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Dessert 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Quick service 26 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Food truck 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Dessert 5 · Other 4 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A and G Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	44 Millard Dr	open
Angry Chicken House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	504 Central Ave	open
Bandidos	Food truck		140 S River St	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3593 South Dixie Highway	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3260 Village Dr RT 122 & I-75:MDLTWN	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	3429 Towne Blvd. Towne Mall	open
Burger King	Quick service		605 Central Ave	open
Busy J's, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		490 Central Ave	open
Calypso Cafe & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	325 S Main St	open
Cancun Mexican Restaurant and Cantina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	3350 Village Dr	open
Carlisle Parks and Recreation	Food truck		601 Beachler Rd	open
Carlisle Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		751 Dayton Oxford Rd	open
Carol's Speakeasy Lounge	Bar		4440 S Dixie Hwy	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	767 Central Avenue	open
Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	510 Central Ave	open
Checkers 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3461 Towne Blvd	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		3461 Towne Blvd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6465 Culbertson Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3479 Towne Blvd	open
Cousin Vinny's Pizza Cousin Vinny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3433 Pendleton Cir	open
Cravings By Janet	Bakery	Bakery	315 S Main St	open
Custom Creations	Food truck		9562 N Dixie Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	490 Central Ave 490 Central Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	675 E 2nd St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		490 Central Ave	open
Duffer's Duffer's Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar			open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6830 Franklin Lebanon Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		1275 East 2nd Street	open
El Vaquero Mexican Restaurant El Vaquero Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1350 E 2nd St	open
Eli's Southern Comfort Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	65 Millard Dr	open
Fizzy Sips & Sweets	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	349 S Main St	open
Frisch's Big Boy	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers · American	3560 S Dixie Hwy	open
Frisch's Big Boy	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers · American	8201 Claude Thomas Rd	open
Front Porch Goods	Bakery	Bakery	750 Central Ave	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Quick service	Burgers · American	711 E 2nd St	open
Grace Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	179 E 6th St	open
Hostess Thrift Shop	Bakery	Bakery	3585 S Dixie Hwy	open
Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3585 S Dixie Hwy	open
Hunter Cafe	Casual dining · Bar	American	4129 State Rte 122	open
Hunter Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4165 OH-122	open
International Local 18	Bar		8401 Claude-Thomas Rd	open
Irie Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	3429 Pendleton Cir	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		3451 S Dixie Highway	open
Just Add Cheese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4381 S Dixie Hwy	open
Kabuki Restaurant Kabuki Restaurant Glendale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	848 S Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3361 Towne Blvd	open
La Catrina Oaxaqueña	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	4501 Dixie Hwy	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken - Miami Valley	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1031 E Second St	open
Main Street Tavern	Bar	American	331 S Main St	open
Mama Jo's Catfish Alley	Bar · Casual dining	Seafood	9636 N Dixie Hwy	open
Matera Caffe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1219 E 2nd St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3570 Commerce Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		530 Central Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6810 Franklin Lebanon Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1425 E Second Street	open
Mega Bites	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8401 Claude-Thomas Rd	open
Milton's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	777 Central Ave	open
Mom's Restaurant	Casual dining	American	1111 William C Good Blvd	open
Mr. Frosty	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	12 E 6th St	open
O'Charley's O'Charley's Restaurant + Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3446 Village Dr	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls	6710 Roosevelt Ave	open
Pennyroyal Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3734 Pennyroyal Rd	open
Pisanello's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	355 S Main St	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6830 State Route 123	open
Quality Inn	Bar		2000 William C Good Blvd	open
Rapid Fired Pizza Rapid Fired Pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	3583 Dixie Hwy	open
Refresco Beverages	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		300 Industry Dr # B	open
Rfm Martin Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3583 S Dixie Hwy	open
Ria's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Mexican · American	3640 Yellow Finch Way	open
Sanjay Patel Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4129A State Route 122	open
Schlotzsky's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches · Pizza	3589 S Dixie Hwy	open
Silver Bar	Bar		9706 N Dixie Hwy	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 South Main Street	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3420 Towne Blvd.	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	6730 Roosevelt Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6168 State Route 122	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3461 Towne Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	6830 State Rt 123, Pilot Travel Center #9	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	807 Central Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1 W 2nd St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6830 OH-123	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1274 E 2nd St	open
TACOS EL CORITA	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4501 S Dixie Hwy	open
Texas Smoke and BBQ	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	140 S River St	open
The Purple Pig Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	751 Dayton-Oxford Rd	open
The River Edge Sports Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar		9636 N Dixie Hwy	open
The Rustic Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	425 S Main St	open
The Salty Dog OH	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	123 carlisle st	open
The Walter James	Casual dining · Bar		72 Hancock Cv	open
The Well	Bar		4371 S Dixie Hwy	open
Tiffanys Tanning Salon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		769 Central Ave	open
Tina's Sweet Treats-A Gluten Free Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	4271 Dixie Hwy	open
Tradewinds Beverage	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Industry Dr	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3589 South Dixie Highway	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6840 Franklin-Lebanon Rd	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3455 COMMERCE Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6840 FRANKLIN	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	6840 OH-123	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6805 Franklin Lebanon Rd	open
Whistle Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	781 Central Ave	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	6901 OH-123	open
WingDepo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8201 Claude Thomas Rd	open
WOOLLY'S	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		544 S Main St	open
Golden Corral Buffet and Grill	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3350 Village Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	40	35	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	38	34	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	46	38	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	48	41	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	46	40	19	15	6	5	NAICS1997
1999	55	50	24	21	5	4	NAICS1997
2000	52	49	24	21	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	51	47	20	22	5	4	NAICS1997
2002	53	46	16	26	4	7	NAICS1997
2003	53	45	15	23	4	8	NAICS2002
2004	54	48	17	24	5	6	NAICS2002
2005	49	42	14	22	4	7	NAICS2002
2006	45	38	11	23	2	7	NAICS2002
2007	43	39	11	23	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	42	38	12	23	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	37	33	12	19	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	40	38	12	24	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	38	36	10	24	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	37	35	10	22	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	43	37	13	22	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	42	37	12	23	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	39	34	11	21	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	41	36	15	20	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	36	32	15	16	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	35	31	15	14	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	37	33	15	16	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	39	35	16	17	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	40	35	15	19	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	42	34	14	19	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	44	36	14	21	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45005. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45066	4.1 mi	47	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.