BMIE Market 45036

Warren County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	42,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,553 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	37,504 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,830 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,128 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,772 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$352,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45036
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+41.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+61.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	58 (range 53–63) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45036. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.7	89	40%	+35.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.3	77	35%	+27.0
Market Momentum Score	77.9	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	42,204	95	40%	+37.9
Median household income (ACS)	99,128	80	40%	+32.2
Households (ACS)	14,553	93	20%	+18.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	41.0	78	35%	+27.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	42,204	95	20%	+19.0
Median household income (ACS)	99,128	80	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	41.0	78	30%	+23.3
20-year restaurant growth	61.8	72	20%	+14.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (114)

By cuisine

American 27 · Coffee 15 · Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Burgers 8 · Italian 8 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Breakfast 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Bar 20 · Quick service 20 · Casual dining 18 · Café 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Taste Of India	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	20 E Silver St	open
Acapulco Acapulco Mexican Restaurant Lawrenceburg, IN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	916 Columbus Ave	open
Addition Manufacturing Technologies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1637 Kingsview Dr	open
Ahwetna	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	Daroun highway	open
Anna's Gourmet Popcorn	Dessert		2 S Broadway St	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	615 E Main St	open
Asian Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1231 Columbus Ave	open
Auntie Anne's Cinnabon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3140 State Route 350	open
Bad Decisions Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar		10 N Cherry St	open
Ballfield Bistro at Armco Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers		open
BC's Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4064 US-42	open
Billie's Burgers and Beers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	745 Columbus Ave	open
Black Horse Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	27 S Broadway St	open
Bob Evans	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	99 Stubbs Mill Rd	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	99 Stubbs Mill Rd	open
Bobaloo's Grille & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12 W Mulberry St	open
Brews In The Burbs	Bar		4064 S US Route 42	open
Broadway Bagels and Coffeehouse	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	4 S Broadway St	open
Broadway Barrel House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		402 N Broadway St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	1248 Columbus Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	723 E Main St	open
Carli's Cookies	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	25 N Mechanic St	open
Center Bar in MVG	Bar			open
Cherry Street Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	126 S Cherry St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1205 Columbus Ave	open
Cin City Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	6000 State Route 63 W	open
Coffee Caravan	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	706 Deerfield Rd	open
Coterel Institute Of Firearms Instruction & Education	Restaurant (service type not stated)		733 Columbus Ave	open
Country Kitchen Restaurant Country Kitchen Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3150 State Route 350	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	580 Columbus Ave 580 Columbus Ave	open
Debray Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)		730 E Lower Springboro Rd	open
Doc's Place	Casual dining · Bar		12 W Mulberry St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	35 Rough Way	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1201 Columbus Ave.	open
Dougie's Hangout	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1231 Columbus Ave	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	603 E Main St	open
El Picante El Picante Authentic Mexican Grill Loveland Miamiville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1525 Genntown Dr	open
G's Wings and wieners	Casual dining	Chicken / wings · Hot dogs · American	760 Columbus Ave	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10 Dave Ave	open
Golden Turtle Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	120 S Broadway St Ste 1	open
Gourmet Nut Shop	Dessert	Dessert	601 Union Rd	open
Greater Ohio Virtual School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1879 Deerfield Rd	open
Greenhouse Cafe + Bar	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	105 E Mulberry St	open
Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	729 Columbus Ave	open
Houston Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4026 S US-42	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1248 Columbus Avenue Suite 12	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1525 Genntown Dr	open
Kashish Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	118 W Main St	open
Kelly's Meats & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	1001 W Main St	open
Ken's Salvation Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	111 W Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	550 E Main St	open
Kidd Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	731 Columbus Ave	open
King's Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		126 W Mulberry St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1500 Union Rd	open
Kumo Asian Fusion in Lebanon Warren township	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	1231 Columbus Ave	open
Ladder 41	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	20 W Silver St	open
LaRosa's Pizza LaRosa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1871 Deerfield Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	731 Columbus Ave	open
Lot No. 1 Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	9 E Main St	open
Lucky Dragon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	726 E Main St	open
Mae Ploy's Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	11 S Broadway St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1248 Columbus Ave, Ste 14	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	650 E Main St	open
Mi Cozumel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	511 N Broadway St Ste 2001	open
Mio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	402 N Broadway St	open
Mvg Trifecta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza · Italian	6000 State Route 63 W	open
Myriad TG	Café		5235 West Ave	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	748 Columbus Ave	open
Nikki's Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1231 Columbus Ave Ste B2	open
Ohio Premium Provisions	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3750 Taft Dr	open
One Mad Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	113 E Mulberry St	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	740 Columbus Ave	open
Patriot Pub Post 186	Bar		620 N Broadway St	open
Pelican Pete's Place	Bar		1101 Settlemire Rd	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	997 Belvedere Dr	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1000 Belvedere Dr	open
Reid's Sports Bar And Grill	Bar		549 E Main St	open
Roll On In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	44 E Mulberry St	open
RoyceCountryside	Coffee shop	Coffee	1699 Deerfield Rd	open
Script Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	535 N Broadway St	open
Seeger's deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1001 W Main St	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	718 E Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1425 Columbus Ave	open
Starvin Marvin’s Pub	Bar · Casual dining		915 N Broadway St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1530 Walmart Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	726 E Main St Suite B	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	915 N. Broadway Street	open
Succeed Classy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2337 North St	open
Swoc Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 S Cherry St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	715 E Main St	open
The Breakfast Club The Breakfast Club	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	102 N Broadway St	open
The Donut Shop The Donut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	742 Columbus Ave	open
The Houston Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3989-3999 S US Route 42	open
The Lebanon Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		20 W Silver St	open
The Morrison Hotel Tea Room in Lebanon, Ohio	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	112 Mound St	open
The Patriot Steakhouse & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1525 Genntown Dr	open
The pub	Bar		Broadway	open
The Village Parlor	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	22 S Broadway St	open
The Woodshed Smokehouse and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	107 E Mulberry St	open
The Zwelling Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22 S Broadway St	open
Tin Duck Tavern	Bar		1525 Genntown Dr	open
Tnt Enterprise: Combat Sports Division, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 N Union Rd	open
Toki Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	726 E Main St	open
Track Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	665 N Broadway St	open
Tronis Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3855 Lower Market St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1248 Columbus Ave	open
Villaggio's Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	48 E Mulberry St	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	1530 Walmart Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3140 Oh 350	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	544 E Main St	open
Whit's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6 S Broadway St	open
Wingdepo	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers · American	1330 Columbus Ave	open
Roll On In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1699 Deerfield Rd	closed
The Cooling Rack Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1001 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	32	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	31	25	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	28	23	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	37	33	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	39	33	16	14	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	35	30	15	12	3	3	NAICS1997
2000	37	31	14	15	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	39	35	16	15	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	42	34	21	10	3	6	NAICS1997
2003	41	34	18	12	4	4	NAICS2002
2004	41	35	18	13	4	4	NAICS2002
2005	42	36	17	14	4	3	NAICS2002
2006	48	44	21	18	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	46	41	21	15	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	40	37	18	14	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	44	40	19	15	6	2	NAICS2007
2010	43	38	19	14	5	2	NAICS2007
2011	42	38	19	15	4	2	NAICS2007
2012	45	40	18	16	6	3	NAICS2012
2013	45	39	17	17	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	46	39	20	15	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	43	38	19	13	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	46	40	22	14	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	49	43	23	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	49	44	24	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	55	47	26	17	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	51	44	23	17	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	50	44	23	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	55	49	22	23	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	62	55	22	28	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45036. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.