BMIE Market 45042

Butler County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,652 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,451 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,895 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,520 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,969 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$922 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$202,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45042
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-24.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-35.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45042. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.0	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.9	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	43.3	43	25%	+10.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,652	87	40%	+34.9
Median household income (ACS)	69,520	46	40%	+18.5
Households (ACS)	11,578	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.0	76	25%	+19.0
Population (ACS)	27,652	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	69,520	46	20%	+9.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.2	61	50%	+30.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-24.2	12	20%	+2.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 10 · Chicken / wings 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 17 · Quick service 15 · Casual dining 10 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
@ the square	Bar · Casual dining		1045 Central Ave	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches	2223 N Verity Pkwy	open
Billy T's	Bar		4304 Tytus Ave	open
Blue Goose	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3008 Tytus Ave	open
Bourbon's Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar	American	2231 N Verity Pkwy	open
Brent's Smokin' Butts and Grill	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	640 N University Blvd	open
Buster's	Bar		1819 Casper St	open
Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2235 N Verity Pkwy	open
Chick'n & Wok: Fried Chicken • Chinese • Mexican •	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2021 Tytus Ave	open
China Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	616 N University Blvd	open
DC Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1316 Vail Ave	open
Desi Swad Cuisine LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	613 N Verity Pkwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	606 N University Blvd	open
Dutch Tavern	Bar		2716 N Verity Pkwy	open
Freedom Roasters Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1030 Summit Dr	open
Hillbilly Heaven	Bar		2502 Atco Ave	open
Hook Fish & Chicken Hook Fish & Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	401 N Verity Pkwy	open
Ib Gourmet Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2229 N Verity Pkwy	open
J&E Rootbeer Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6301 Germantown Rd	open
J-Rocks Bar	Bar · Casual dining		3008 Tytus Ave	open
Java Johnny's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 N Breiel Blvd Ste 200	open
Jerk’N Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Chicken / wings	1700 Manchester Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2211 N. Verity Pky	open
La International Food Truck	Food truck	Caribbean	1700 Manchester Ave	open
Laffs II at Elk Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1920 Middletown Eaton Rd	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2011 N Verity Pkwy	open
Longbranch	Bar		1807 Germantown Rd	open
Madison Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	101 Front St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2351 N Verity Pkwy	open
Mit Oil Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 Germantown Rd	open
N.E.W. Ales Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1330 Manchester Ave	open
Naing's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2021 N Verity Pkwy	open
National Association for Uniformed Services	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6623 Georgetown Ln	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2508 N Verity Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2201 N Verity Pkwy Butler	open
Pizza Tower	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2021 Tytus Ave	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2115 North Verity Parkway Middletown, OH	open
Remy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1610 Germantown Rd	open
Seven Mile Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3526 Somerville Jacksonburg Rd	open
Skyline Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	616 N University Blvd	open
Spinning Fork Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2229 N Verity Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	2227 1/2 N Verity Pkwy	open
Subway Verity Parkway Middletown Ohio	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2227 1/2 N Verity Pkwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2101 No Verity Pkwy	open
Taco Bout Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2021 Tytus Ave	open
Tapsters Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1714 Tytus Ave	open
Taqueria la bamba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	650 N University Blvd	open
The Lakeside Inn	Casual dining · Bar		2019 Tytus Ave	open
The Press Room	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1330 Manchester Ave Ste A	open
Voodoo Lounge	Bar		8762 Thomas Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2131 N Verity Parkway	open
Willies pub and billiards	Bar		1617 Germantown Rd	open
WingDepo	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Breakfast · Burgers · American	1800 Germantown Rd	open
𝐉&𝐄 𝐑𝐎𝐎𝐓𝐁𝐄𝐄𝐑	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6301 Germantown Rd	open
Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2233 N Verity Pkwy	closed
Eagle Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1610 Germantown Rd	closed
Homestyle Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2624 Tytus Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	45	39	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	42	36	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	44	35	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	45	36	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	44	35	11	24	—	8	NAICS1997
1999	44	35	11	24	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	44	32	9	23	—	10	NAICS1997
2001	49	35	12	23	—	12	NAICS1997
2002	46	36	10	26	—	9	NAICS1997
2003	40	33	9	24	—	7	NAICS2002
2004	42	34	9	24	1	8	NAICS2002
2005	41	32	8	24	—	9	NAICS2002
2006	38	33	10	23	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	37	31	9	22	—	5	NAICS2002
2008	36	30	8	22	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	37	31	9	22	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	39	29	7	22	—	6	NAICS2007
2011	35	26	4	22	—	5	NAICS2007
2012	31	25	3	21	1	5	NAICS2012
2013	31	25	3	21	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	30	24	5	19	—	5	NAICS2012
2015	34	28	5	23	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	32	26	5	21	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	31	24	3	21	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	31	24	4	20	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	28	22	4	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	22	3	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	25	4	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	24	—	21	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	25	—	22	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45042. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.