BMIE Market 45050

Butler County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,248 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±879 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,288 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±321 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,548 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,436 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,282 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,000 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$293,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,085 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45050
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+180.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 42–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.8 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45050. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.3	77	40%	+30.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.6	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	90.7	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,248	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	104,282	84	40%	+33.4
Households (ACS)	4,288	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	35%	+31.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	34.3	17	25%	+4.1
Population (ACS)	12,248	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	104,282	84	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	55.6	92	50%	+46.0
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	180	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

American 13 · Pizza 11 · Sandwiches 9 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 8 · Burgers 7 · Bakery 6 · Italian 6 · Mexican 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 25 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
75 south diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	11 American Way	open
Ahava Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	400 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Apple Tree Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	320 N Garver Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	980 Premium Outlets Dr	open
BIGGBY COFFEE	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	210 Brooks Dr	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	210 Brooks Dr.	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1275 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	665 S Main St	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	400 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	400 Premium Outlet Drive	open
Chicken Now	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	986 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	175 Senate Dr	open
Cincinnati Premium Outlets Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	400 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1301 Hamilton Lebanon Rd E	open
Culver’s Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1301 OH-63	open
Da Dini Pizza	Dessert	Pizza · Italian · Dessert	314 N Main St	open
Daily Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	646 N Main St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1319 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Dave and Phils Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers	320 N Garver Rd	open
Dippin' Dots Dippin' Dots	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	986 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	100 North Main Street	open
Don Julio Mexican Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3113 Heritage Green Dr	open
DQ Grill & Chill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1319 Hamilton Lebanon Rd E	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1319 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1270 Hamilton Lebanon Rd E	open
Everything Fudge	Dessert		11 Ohio Ave	open
Fresh Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	11 American Way	open
Froggy's	Casual dining · Bar	American	10 American Way	open
Gold Star Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1295 Hamilton Lebanon Rd,	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1307 State Route 63 W	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	1307 Hamilton Lebanon Rd E	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	19 American Way	open
Kidd Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3291 Heritage Green Dr	open
Krispy Kreme Krispy Kreme Thailand	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	351 Lawton Ave	open
LaRosa's Pizza LaRosa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3291 Heritage Green Dr	open
Lindt Chocolate Shop Lindt	Dessert	Dessert	801 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Lucky Bamboo Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3241 Heritage Green Dr	open
Main Deck Grub & Galley	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		320 N Garver Rd	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17 S American Way	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	101 Garver Rd	open
MHS BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	170 Wexford Dr	open
Millions of Milk Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	834 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Numprik Thai Lao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	214 S Main St	open
Old Street Saloon	Bar		13 Old St	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1304 OH-63	open
Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	150 N Garver Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	294 N Main St Butler	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1260 OH-63	open
Prime BBQ Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	11 American Way	open
Richards Pizza Richards Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20 American Way	open
Ripngo LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	400 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	400 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1321 OH-63	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 New Garver Road	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	3033 Heritage Green Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	40 American Way	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	995 Premium Outlet Drive, Unit 0983	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	995 Premium Outlet Drive, Unit 0983, Cincinnati Premium Outlets	open
Sugar Kneads	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	130 Koehler Dr	open
Sugar Thorn Sweet - Cincinnati Premium Outlets	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	400 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Super Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	9 East Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1295 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
The Clubhouse Sports Grille	Bar · Casual dining		250 N Main St	open
The Hangry Hornet Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	17 American Way	open
The Healthy Bee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	117 S Main St	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1255 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Tres Amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1012 Lebanon St	open
Twisted Greek	Food truck	Greek	an event near you	open
Victor's Taco Shop Victors taco shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2 East Ave	open
Victory Lane Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	638 S Main St	open
Villa Fresh Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		992 Premium Outlets Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1225 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1265 Hamilton Lebanon Rd.	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers	1201 Hamilton Lebanon Rd	open
Wings and Rings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3271 Heritage Green	open
Coffee Beans & Brew Monroe Llc	Coffee shop	Coffee	294 N Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	6	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	15	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	17	17	5	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	15	5	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	17	13	5	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	7	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	24	20	9	10	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	23	21	10	10	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	25	24	11	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	25	24	11	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	23	22	10	8	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	29	28	13	12	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	28	27	8	13	6	1	NAICS2012
2013	25	24	7	12	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	24	22	5	12	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	27	25	6	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	9	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	26	23	5	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	27	7	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	31	8	18	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	32	8	19	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	36	8	21	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	38	8	23	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	47	42	8	24	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45050. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45044	3.5 mi	72	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.