BMIE Market 45067

Butler County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,471 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,471 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,898 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,605 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,290 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$236,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45067
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+63.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+63.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+157.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+350.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45067. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.7	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.1	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	90.3	90	25%	+22.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,471	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	81,605	64	40%	+25.7
Households (ACS)	5,471	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	63.6	87	35%	+30.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	15,471	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	81,605	64	20%	+12.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	63.6	93	50%	+46.3
10-year restaurant growth	63.6	87	30%	+26.0
20-year restaurant growth	157.1	89	20%	+17.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · American 6 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 11 · Bar 5 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
B$H 3S Food Mart LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	841 W State St	open
Bake House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		801 W Aberdeen Dr	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	700 Wayne Madison Rd	open
Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	715 E State St	open
Dog Pound 4 and pending.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1056 W Arlington Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	650 W State Street	open
Dragon China \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8 E State St	open
El Barzon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	948 W State St	open
Farmhouse Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		516 E State St	open
Hayes Insurance &#x26 Financial	Restaurant (service type not stated)		923 W State St	open
Hooks Fish & Chicken Trenton (Crispy Fish & Chicken )	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Seafood	4 E State St	open
Hotspot Hot Spot Food and Liquor	Bar		108 E State St	open
Kilic Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		516 E State St	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	815 W State St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	942 W State St	open
Martin's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4 W State St	open
Mayor's Place	Bar		114 E State St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3545 Wayne Madison Rd	open
MillerCoors Brewery	Brewery / taproom		2525 Wayne Madison Rd	open
Neighbors Sports Grille	Casual dining · Bar		932 W State St	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	917 W State St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	835 W State St	open
Richards Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	855 W State St	open
Rise N Shine Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee · American	516 E State St	open
SABROSA Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	516 E STATE St	open
Satch's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3056 Wayne Madison Rd	open
Skyline Chili Skyline Chili	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	917 W State St	open
State Street Coffee Inc	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	938 W State St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	12 E State St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	849 W State St	open
T-Byrds Sportsbar -n- Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	932 W State St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	975 W State St	open
Trenton indian & Nepali restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	4 E State St	open
Whit's Frozen Custard Trenton Whit's Frozen Custard, Hilliard, Ohio	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	919 W State St	open
Whitey's Tavern	Bar		301 E State St	open
Woodsdale Drive Thru	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1728 Wayne Madison Rd	open
Yardbird's Southern Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	932 W State St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	9	7	1	5	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	1	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	1	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	—	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	3	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	3	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	2	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	3	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	3	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	4	6	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	18	4	12	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45067. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45055	3.1 mi	1	1999
45044	3.9 mi	72	2023
45062	4.0 mi	1	2006
45011	4.8 mi	104	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.