BMIE Market 45233

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,981 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,845 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,808 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,933 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,742 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$301,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,006 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45233
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45233. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.1	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.0	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	61.0	61	25%	+15.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,981	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	110,742	87	40%	+34.8
Households (ACS)	5,845	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.6	89	25%	+22.4
Population (ACS)	15,981	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	110,742	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	20%	+2.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
13 Below Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		7391 Forbes Rd	open
Angilo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6595 Gracely Dr	open
Bizy Bees Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	6601 Gracely Dr	open
Buddha Barn Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	6625 Gracely Dr	open
Cabana On the River	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7445 Forbes Rd	open
Cargill Salt	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5204 River Rd	open
Castlebridge Micro Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Delhi Pub	Bar · Casual dining		937 Devils Backbone Rd	open
Diane's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	6135 Cleves Warsaw Pike	open
El Chevito Food Truck	Food truck	Latin American (other) · Mexican	6590 Gracely Dr	open
Holy Grail Tavern And Grille	Bar		1278 Ebenezer Rd	open
Incline Smoke Shack	Food truck	BBQ · American	7391 Forbes Rd	open
Linnie's Pub	Bar		6113 Cleves Warsaw Pike	open
Longshots Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1278 Ebenezer Rd	open
Mad Batter Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	949 Countryridge Ln	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	55 Kibby Ln	open
Our Lady Of Victory School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		808 Neeb Rd	open
Parkland Grill	Bar		6550 Parkland Ave	open
Sayler Park Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6557 Gracely Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks Middle East	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	5701 Delhi Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	6115 Cleves Warsaw Pike	open
West Side Subs Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6571 Gracely Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	15	10	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	14	8	5	2	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	9	5	2	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	13	8	4	2	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	16	10	4	5	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	18	12	3	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	18	11	4	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	16	8	3	4	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	14	8	4	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	12	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	13	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	13	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	13	8	2	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	14	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	12	8	2	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	7	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	15	9	6	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	6	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	13	9	5	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	16	9	4	4	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	14	9	3	5	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45233. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45051	1.5 mi	1	1997
45001	2.6 mi	3	2019
41048	2.7 mi	31	2023
45248	3.3 mi	24	2023
45238	3.5 mi	60	2023
45211	4.9 mi	54	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.